Language:English
Newcastle Jets FC v Macarthur FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Newcastle Jets FC (Local)
Prediction 52.04%1.92fair odd
EV +0.445%
Edge +0.231%
Kelly +0.479%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.79%52.10%51.99%54.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.791.801.9361.73%55.98%55.56%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Macarthur FC (Visit)
Prediction 25.91%3.86fair odd
EV +3.66%
Edge +0.914%
Kelly +1.22%
Growth +0.045%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.53%25.84%26.00%27.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.603.594.0030.30%27.81%27.86%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.04%4.54fair odd
EV +0.288%
Edge +0.063%
Kelly +0.081%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.24%22.05%22.01%24.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.204.204.5528.57%23.79%23.81%21.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Newcastle Jets FC (Local): 52.04%; Macarthur FC (Visit): 25.91%; Draw: 22.04%. For Macarthur FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.86. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.66%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.60%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%EV +3.66%E +0.914%K +1.22%G +0.045% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.24%EV +0.288%E +0.063%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.60%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%EV +3.66%E +0.914%K +1.22%G +0.045% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.24%EV +0.288%E +0.063%K +0.081%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.73%EV -10.48%E -6.10%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV +3.66%E +0.914%K +1.22%G +0.045% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.74%EV -4.56%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.17%EV -9.44%E -5.43%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV +1.07%E +0.273%K +0.368%G +0.004% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -4.12%E -0.947%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -10.48%E -6.10%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV +1.07%E +0.273%K +0.368%G +0.004% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -4.12%E -0.947%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-22 05:57 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.27%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -0.230%E -0.060%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -3.02%E -0.686%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-22 05:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -9.44%E -5.43%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.42%EV -1.01%E -0.264%K -0.357%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.26%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -1.53%E -0.401%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -1.53%E -0.401%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 05:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -1.53%E -0.401%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -2.82%E -0.752%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -11.52%E -6.78%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -4.12%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -11.83%E -2.96%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.15%EV -5.80%E -3.20%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.79%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.06%EV -5.66%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.17%EV -5.80%E -3.20%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.87%EV -5.41%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -4.56%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -4.56%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.43%EV -5.80%E -3.20%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.83%E -2.96%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.83%E -2.96%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.83%E -2.96%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.83%E -2.96%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.28%EV -15.69%E -9.68%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.53%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.20%EV -22.86%E -6.53%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.86%EV -1.12%E -0.587%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.92%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.22%EV -4.12%E -0.947%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.97%EV -2.16%E -1.15%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.03%EV -4.12%E -0.947%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-20 16:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -8.53%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 12:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -8.53%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 12:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.92%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-20 12:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-20 16:46 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-20 16:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.79%EV +0.445%E +0.231%K +0.479%G +0.002% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.86%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.35%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-22 05:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.00%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-20 16:46 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.00%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-20 16:46 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.00%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-20 16:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.00%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-20 16:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.00%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-20 16:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.00%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-20 16:46 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.00%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-20 16:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.84%EV -8.40%E -4.77%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.00%EV -10.48%E -6.10%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.92%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.08%EV -10.73%E -2.65%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-20 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-20 16:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.05%EV -13.09%E -7.84%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.01%EV -12.94%E -3.28%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.54%EV -11.52%E -6.78%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -14.48%E -4.39%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -11.83%E -2.96%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.85% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06% | 0.7% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.99% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.0% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.99% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.0% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.99% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 1.0% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.56% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.25% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.19% | 2.4% | 2026-02-22 06:00 |