La escuela de los momios

Newcastle Jets FC v Macarthur FC

Inicio: 2026-02-22 07:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Newcastle Jets FC (Local)

Predicción 52.04%1.92momio equitativo
EV +0.445%
Ventaja +0.231%
Kelly +0.479%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.79%52.10%51.99%54.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.791.801.9361.73%55.98%55.56%51.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Macarthur FC (Visitante)

Predicción 25.91%3.86momio equitativo
EV +3.66%
Ventaja +0.914%
Kelly +1.22%
Crecimiento +0.045%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.53%25.84%26.00%27.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.603.594.0030.30%27.81%27.86%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.04%4.54momio equitativo
EV +0.288%
Ventaja +0.063%
Kelly +0.081%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.24%22.05%22.01%24.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.204.204.5528.57%23.79%23.81%21.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.60%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%EV +3.66%E +0.914%K +1.22%G +0.045%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.24%EV +0.288%E +0.063%K +0.081%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 06:00
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.60%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%EV +3.66%E +0.914%K +1.22%G +0.045%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.24%EV +0.288%E +0.063%K +0.081%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 06:00
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.73%EV -10.48%E -6.10%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV +3.66%E +0.914%K +1.22%G +0.045%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.74%EV -4.56%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 06:00
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.17%EV -9.44%E -5.43%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV +1.07%E +0.273%K +0.368%G +0.004%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -4.12%E -0.947%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 06:00
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -10.48%E -6.10%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV +1.07%E +0.273%K +0.368%G +0.004%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -4.12%E -0.947%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 05:57
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 54.27%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -0.230%E -0.060%K -0.081%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -3.02%E -0.686%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 05:59
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -9.44%E -5.43%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.42%EV -1.01%E -0.264%K -0.357%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 06:00
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.26%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -1.53%E -0.401%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 06:00
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -1.53%E -0.401%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 05:59
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -1.53%E -0.401%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 06:00
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -2.82%E -0.752%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 06:00
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -11.52%E -6.78%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -4.12%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -11.83%E -2.96%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-22 06:00
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 52.15%EV -5.80%E -3.20%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.79%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.06%EV -5.66%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 06:00
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.17%EV -5.80%E -3.20%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.87%EV -5.41%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 06:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -4.56%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 06:00
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -4.56%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 06:00
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 06:00
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 06:00
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 51.43%EV -5.80%E -3.20%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 06:00
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.83%E -2.96%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 06:00
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.83%E -2.96%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 06:00
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.83%E -2.96%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 06:00
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.83%E -2.96%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 06:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.28%EV -15.69%E -9.68%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.53%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.20%EV -22.86%E -6.53%K -9.14%G +0.000%18.1%2026-02-22 06:00
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.86%EV -1.12%E -0.587%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.92%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.22%EV -4.12%E -0.947%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 06:00
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.97%EV -2.16%E -1.15%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.03%EV -4.12%E -0.947%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-20 16:45
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -8.53%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 12:55
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -8.53%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 12:55
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 50.92%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-20 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-20 16:46
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-20 16:45
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 06:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 06:00
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 06:00
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.79%EV +0.445%E +0.231%K +0.479%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.86%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.35%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 05:59
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 16:45
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 51.00%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 16:46
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.00%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 16:46
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.00%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 16:45
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 51.00%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 16:45
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.00%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 16:45
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 51.00%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 16:46
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.00%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 16:45
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.84%EV -8.40%E -4.77%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 06:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.00%EV -10.48%E -6.10%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.92%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.08%EV -10.73%E -2.65%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-22 06:00
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-20 16:45
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-20 16:45
NetBet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.05%EV -13.09%E -7.84%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.01%EV -12.94%E -3.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-22 06:00
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.54%EV -11.52%E -6.78%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -14.48%E -4.39%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -11.83%E -2.96%K -3.94%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-22 06:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%0.7%2026-02-22 06:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-02-22 06:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-02-22 06:00
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 54.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-02-22 06:00
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.19%2.4%2026-02-22 06:00