L’École des cotes

Newcastle Jets FC v Macarthur FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-22 07:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Newcastle Jets FC (Local)

Prévision 52.04%1.92cote équitable
EV +0.445%
Avantage +0.231%
Kelly +0.479%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 1.93

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.79%52.10%51.99%54.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.791.801.9361.73%55.98%55.56%51.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Macarthur FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.91%3.86cote équitable
EV +3.66%
Avantage +0.914%
Kelly +1.22%
Croissance +0.045%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.53%25.84%26.00%27.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.603.594.0030.30%27.81%27.86%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.04%4.54cote équitable
EV +0.288%
Avantage +0.063%
Kelly +0.081%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.24%22.05%22.01%24.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.204.204.5528.57%23.79%23.81%21.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.60%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%EV +3.66%E +0.914%K +1.22%G +0.045%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.24%EV +0.288%E +0.063%K +0.081%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 06:00
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.60%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%EV +3.66%E +0.914%K +1.22%G +0.045%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.24%EV +0.288%E +0.063%K +0.081%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 06:00
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.73%EV -10.48%E -6.10%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV +3.66%E +0.914%K +1.22%G +0.045%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.74%EV -4.56%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 06:00
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.17%EV -9.44%E -5.43%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV +1.07%E +0.273%K +0.368%G +0.004%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -4.12%E -0.947%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 06:00
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -10.48%E -6.10%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV +1.07%E +0.273%K +0.368%G +0.004%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -4.12%E -0.947%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 05:57
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 54.27%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -0.230%E -0.060%K -0.081%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -3.02%E -0.686%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 05:59
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -9.44%E -5.43%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.42%EV -1.01%E -0.264%K -0.357%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 06:00
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.26%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -1.53%E -0.401%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 06:00
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -1.53%E -0.401%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 05:59
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -1.53%E -0.401%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 06:00
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -2.82%E -0.752%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 06:00
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -11.52%E -6.78%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -4.12%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -11.83%E -2.96%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-22 06:00
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 52.15%EV -5.80%E -3.20%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.79%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.06%EV -5.66%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 06:00
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.17%EV -5.80%E -3.20%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.87%EV -5.41%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 06:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -4.56%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 06:00
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -4.56%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 06:00
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 06:00
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 06:00
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 51.43%EV -5.80%E -3.20%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 06:00
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.83%E -2.96%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 06:00
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.83%E -2.96%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 06:00
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.83%E -2.96%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 06:00
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.83%E -2.96%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 06:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.28%EV -15.69%E -9.68%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.53%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.20%EV -22.86%E -6.53%K -9.14%G +0.000%18.1%2026-02-22 06:00
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.86%EV -1.12%E -0.587%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.92%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.22%EV -4.12%E -0.947%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 06:00
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.97%EV -2.16%E -1.15%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.03%EV -4.12%E -0.947%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-20 16:45
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -8.53%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 12:55
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -8.53%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 12:55
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 50.92%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-20 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-20 16:46
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-20 16:45
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 06:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 06:00
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 06:00
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.79%EV +0.445%E +0.231%K +0.479%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.86%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.35%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 05:59
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 16:45
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 51.00%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 16:46
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.00%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 16:46
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.00%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 16:45
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 51.00%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 16:45
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.00%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 16:45
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 51.00%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 16:46
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.00%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 16:45
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.84%EV -8.40%E -4.77%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 06:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.00%EV -10.48%E -6.10%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.92%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.08%EV -10.73%E -2.65%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-22 06:00
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-20 16:45
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-20 16:45
NetBet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.05%EV -13.09%E -7.84%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.01%EV -12.94%E -3.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-22 06:00
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.54%EV -11.52%E -6.78%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -14.48%E -4.39%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -11.83%E -2.96%K -3.94%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-22 06:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%0.7%2026-02-22 06:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-02-22 06:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-02-22 06:00
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 54.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-02-22 06:00
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.19%2.4%2026-02-22 06:00