مدرسة الاحتمالات

Newcastle Jets FC v Macarthur FC

البداية: 2026-02-22 07:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (13 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Newcastle Jets FC (المضيف)

التنبؤ 52.04%1.92السعر العادل
EV +0.445%
الأفضلية +0.231%
Kelly +0.479%
النمو +0.002%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.93

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
49.79%52.10%51.99%54.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.791.801.9361.73%55.98%55.56%51.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Macarthur FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 25.91%3.86السعر العادل
EV +3.66%
الأفضلية +0.914%
Kelly +1.22%
النمو +0.045%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.53%25.84%26.00%27.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.603.594.0030.30%27.81%27.86%25.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.04%4.54السعر العادل
EV +0.288%
الأفضلية +0.063%
Kelly +0.081%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.24%22.05%22.01%24.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.504.204.204.5528.57%23.79%23.81%21.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.60%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%EV +3.66%E +0.914%K +1.22%G +0.045%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.24%EV +0.288%E +0.063%K +0.081%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 06:00
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.60%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.24%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%EV +3.66%E +0.914%K +1.22%G +0.045%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.24%EV +0.288%E +0.063%K +0.081%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 06:00
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.73%EV -10.48%E -6.10%K -14.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV +3.66%E +0.914%K +1.22%G +0.045%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.74%EV -4.56%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-22 06:00
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.17%EV -9.44%E -5.43%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV +1.07%E +0.273%K +0.368%G +0.004%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.67%EV -4.12%E -0.947%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 06:00
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 54.45%EV -10.48%E -6.10%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.02%EV +1.07%E +0.273%K +0.368%G +0.004%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.53%EV -4.12%E -0.947%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-22 05:57
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 54.27%EV -9.96%E -5.76%K -13.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -0.230%E -0.060%K -0.081%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.34%EV -3.02%E -0.686%K -0.888%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-22 05:59
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.62%EV -9.44%E -5.43%K -12.76%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.42%EV -1.01%E -0.264%K -0.357%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-22 06:00
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.26%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.81%EV -1.53%E -0.401%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-22 06:00
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -1.53%E -0.401%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 05:59
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -1.53%E -0.401%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-22 06:00
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.09%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -2.82%E -0.752%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.85%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-22 06:00
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -11.52%E -6.78%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -4.12%E -1.11%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -11.83%E -2.96%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.9%2026-02-22 06:00
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 52.15%EV -5.80%E -3.20%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.79%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.28I 23.36%NM 22.06%EV -5.66%E -1.32%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 06:00
Codere (IT)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.17%EV -5.80%E -3.20%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.87%EV -5.41%E -1.48%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-22 06:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -4.56%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 06:00
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.79%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.89%EV -4.56%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-22 06:00
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-22 06:00
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-22 06:00
Bet Right1.81I 55.25%NM 51.43%EV -5.80%E -3.20%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-22 06:00
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.83%E -2.96%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 06:00
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.83%E -2.96%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 06:00
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.83%E -2.96%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 06:00
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.92%E -5.10%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.83%E -2.96%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-22 06:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.28%EV -15.69%E -9.68%K -25.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.53%EV -6.71%E -1.86%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.20%EV -22.86%E -6.53%K -9.14%G +0.000%18.1%2026-02-22 06:00
Pinnacle1.90I 52.63%NM 50.86%EV -1.12%E -0.587%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.92%EV -6.97%E -1.94%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.22%EV -4.12%E -0.947%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-22 06:00
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.97%EV -2.16%E -1.15%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.99%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.03%EV -4.12%E -0.947%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-20 16:45
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -8.53%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 12:55
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.25%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -8.00%E -2.25%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.48%EV -8.53%E -2.06%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 12:55
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 50.92%EV -3.72%E -2.01%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-20 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-20 16:46
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-20 16:45
Neds1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 06:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-22 06:00
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -6.32%E -3.51%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -9.30%E -2.66%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-22 06:00
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.79%EV +0.445%E +0.231%K +0.479%G +0.002%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.86%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.35%EV -5.22%E -1.21%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-22 05:59
Unibet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.99%EV -4.76%E -2.60%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.05%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -6.32%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 16:45
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 51.00%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 16:46
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.00%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 16:46
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.00%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 16:45
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 51.00%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 16:45
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.00%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 16:45
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 51.00%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 16:46
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.00%EV -5.28%E -2.90%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-20 16:45
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.84%EV -8.40%E -4.77%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -7.43%E -1.77%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-22 06:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.00%EV -10.48%E -6.10%K -14.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.92%EV -10.60%E -3.07%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.08%EV -10.73%E -2.65%K -3.52%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-22 06:00
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-20 16:45
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 51.02%EV -7.88%E -4.45%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.03%EV -9.63%E -2.35%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-20 16:45
NetBet (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.05%EV -13.09%E -7.84%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -13.19%E -3.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.01%EV -12.94%E -3.28%K -4.39%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-22 06:00
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.54%EV -11.52%E -6.78%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -14.48%E -4.39%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.91%EV -11.83%E -2.96%K -3.94%G +0.000%14.1%2026-02-22 06:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.85%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.09%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.06%0.7%2026-02-22 06:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-02-22 06:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 54.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-02-22 06:00
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 54.99%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.02%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99%1.0%2026-02-22 06:00
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.25%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.19%2.4%2026-02-22 06:00