La scuola delle quote

Melbourne Victory v Wellington Phoenix FC

Inizio: 2026-04-05 05:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

49 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Melbourne Victory (Casa)

Previsione 60.99%1.64quota equa
EV -4.24%
Vantaggio -2.70%
Kelly -7.44%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.24%61.03%60.82%62.58%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.411.521.531.5770.92%65.96%65.36%63.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Wellington Phoenix FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 18.54%5.39quota equa
EV +6.62%
Vantaggio +1.15%
Kelly +1.39%
Crescita +0.092%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.57%18.48%18.73%20.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.405.195.155.7522.73%19.27%19.42%17.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 20.46%4.89quota equa
EV -1.15%
Vantaggio -0.239%
Kelly -0.302%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.64%20.49%20.45%23.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.474.504.8327.78%22.37%22.22%20.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV +6.62%E +1.15%K +1.39%G +0.092%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 04:50
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.38%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.27%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.36%EV -2.79%E -0.588%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 04:40
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.38%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.27%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.36%EV -2.79%E -0.588%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 04:40
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 62.30%EV -7.90%E -5.23%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 04:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.30%EV -7.90%E -5.23%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 04:50
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.16%EV -8.51%E -5.67%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 04:50
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -9.12%E -6.12%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 04:50
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -9.12%E -6.12%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 04:49
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -9.12%E -6.12%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 04:50
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -9.12%E -6.12%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 04:50
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -9.12%E -6.12%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 04:50
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -9.12%E -6.12%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 04:50
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -9.12%E -6.12%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 04:50
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV +1.99%E +0.362%K +0.442%G +0.009%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -2.79%E -0.588%K -0.745%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 04:40
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV +1.99%E +0.362%K +0.442%G +0.009%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -2.79%E -0.588%K -0.745%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 04:40
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -8.51%E -5.67%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV +1.99%E +0.362%K +0.442%G +0.009%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 04:45
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -8.51%E -5.67%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +1.99%E +0.362%K +0.442%G +0.009%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 04:45
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -9.73%E -6.58%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV +1.99%E +0.362%K +0.442%G +0.009%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 04:55
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.12%EV -11.56%E -7.97%K -25.69%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.68%EV +0.134%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -13.02%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 04:50
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.12%EV -11.56%E -7.97%K -25.69%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.68%EV +0.134%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -13.02%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 04:49
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.31%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.99%EV -0.793%E -0.148%K -0.182%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.70%EV -4.84%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 04:45
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.45%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 18.07%EV -0.978%E -0.183%K -0.225%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.48%EV -3.61%E -0.767%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 04:55
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.33%EV -14.00%E -9.93%K -34.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.74%EV -2.65%E -0.504%K -0.623%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-05 04:50
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -6.07%E -3.94%K -11.25%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.26%EV -4.50%E -0.874%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.67%EV -6.88%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 04:45
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -7.29%E -4.80%K -14.02%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.12%EV -4.50%E -0.874%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.50%EV -6.88%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 04:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.41%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 04:45
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.41%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 04:45
Codere (IT)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 04:55
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 60.87%EV -6.07%E -3.94%K -11.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 04:45
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.87%EV -6.07%E -3.94%K -11.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 04:55
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 04:39
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 04:40
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 04:39
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 04:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -12.17%E -8.45%K -27.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -26.33%E -7.31%K -10.13%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-05 04:40
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 61.20%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.16%EV -8.21%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.64%EV -1.15%E -0.239%K -0.302%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 04:50
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -8.21%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -8.93%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 04:39
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -8.21%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -8.93%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 04:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.98%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -10.99%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 04:45
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 59.98%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -10.99%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 04:44
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.13%EV -6.07%E -3.94%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.29%EV -10.99%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 04:45
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.99%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 04:44
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.99%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 04:45
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.99%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 04:45
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.99%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 04:45
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 60.72%EV -10.34%E -7.04%K -22.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -12.85%E -2.73%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 04:55
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -8.51%E -5.67%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -14.70%E -3.20%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 04:54
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 60.85%EV -12.78%E -8.94%K -29.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.92%EV -14.70%E -3.20%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.24%EV -12.00%E -2.79%K -3.64%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-05 04:55
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.50%EV -9.73%E -6.58%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02%EV -18.41%E -4.18%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -12.00%E -2.79%K -3.64%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-05 04:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.62%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-04-05 04:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.62%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-04-05 04:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.62%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-04-05 04:55
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.62%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-04-05 04:50
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.49%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.63%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.9%2026-04-05 04:50
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.79%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59%2.1%2026-04-05 04:45