مدرسة الاحتمالات

Melbourne Victory v Wellington Phoenix FC

البداية: 2026-04-05 05:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Melbourne Victory (المضيف)

التنبؤ 60.99%1.64السعر العادل
EV -4.24%
الأفضلية -2.70%
Kelly -7.44%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.57

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
59.24%61.03%60.82%62.58%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.411.521.531.5770.92%65.96%65.36%63.69%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Wellington Phoenix FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 18.54%5.39السعر العادل
EV +6.62%
الأفضلية +1.15%
Kelly +1.39%
النمو +0.092%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.57%18.48%18.73%20.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.405.195.155.7522.73%19.27%19.42%17.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 20.46%4.89السعر العادل
EV -1.15%
الأفضلية -0.239%
Kelly -0.302%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.83

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
19.64%20.49%20.45%23.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.474.504.8327.78%22.37%22.22%20.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV +6.62%E +1.15%K +1.39%G +0.092%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 04:50
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.38%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.27%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.36%EV -2.79%E -0.588%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 04:40
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.38%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.27%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.36%EV -2.79%E -0.588%K -0.745%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 04:40
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 62.30%EV -7.90%E -5.23%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 04:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.30%EV -7.90%E -5.23%K -15.49%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 04:50
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.16%EV -8.51%E -5.67%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 04:50
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -9.12%E -6.12%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 04:50
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -9.12%E -6.12%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 04:49
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -9.12%E -6.12%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 04:50
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -9.12%E -6.12%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 04:50
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -9.12%E -6.12%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 04:50
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -9.12%E -6.12%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 04:50
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -9.12%E -6.12%K -18.62%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 04:50
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV +1.99%E +0.362%K +0.442%G +0.009%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -2.79%E -0.588%K -0.745%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 04:40
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV +1.99%E +0.362%K +0.442%G +0.009%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -2.79%E -0.588%K -0.745%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-05 04:40
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -8.51%E -5.67%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV +1.99%E +0.362%K +0.442%G +0.009%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 04:45
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -8.51%E -5.67%K -17.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +1.99%E +0.362%K +0.442%G +0.009%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 04:45
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -9.73%E -6.58%K -20.28%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV +1.99%E +0.362%K +0.442%G +0.009%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 04:55
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.12%EV -11.56%E -7.97%K -25.69%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.68%EV +0.134%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -13.02%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 04:50
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.12%EV -11.56%E -7.97%K -25.69%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.68%EV +0.134%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -13.02%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 04:49
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.31%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.99%EV -0.793%E -0.148%K -0.182%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.70%EV -4.84%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-05 04:45
Pinnacle1.57I 63.69%NM 61.45%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 18.07%EV -0.978%E -0.183%K -0.225%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 20.48%EV -3.61%E -0.767%K -0.973%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-05 04:55
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 62.33%EV -14.00%E -9.93%K -34.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.74%EV -2.65%E -0.504%K -0.623%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-05 04:50
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -6.07%E -3.94%K -11.25%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.26%EV -4.50%E -0.874%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.67%EV -6.88%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 04:45
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -7.29%E -4.80%K -14.02%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.12%EV -4.50%E -0.874%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.50%EV -6.88%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 04:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.41%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 04:45
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.41%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 04:45
Codere (IT)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 04:55
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 60.87%EV -6.07%E -3.94%K -11.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 04:45
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.87%EV -6.07%E -3.94%K -11.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 04:55
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 04:39
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 04:40
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 04:39
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 04:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -12.17%E -8.45%K -27.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -26.33%E -7.31%K -10.13%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-05 04:40
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 61.20%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.16%EV -8.21%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.64%EV -1.15%E -0.239%K -0.302%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 04:50
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -8.21%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -8.93%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 04:39
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -8.21%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -8.93%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 04:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.98%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -10.99%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 04:45
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 59.98%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -10.99%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-05 04:44
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.13%EV -6.07%E -3.94%K -11.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.29%EV -10.99%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-05 04:45
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.99%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 04:44
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.99%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 04:45
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.99%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 04:45
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.99%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 04:45
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 60.72%EV -10.34%E -7.04%K -22.00%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -12.85%E -2.73%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-05 04:55
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -8.51%E -5.67%K -17.02%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -14.70%E -3.20%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-05 04:54
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 60.85%EV -12.78%E -8.94%K -29.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.92%EV -14.70%E -3.20%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.24%EV -12.00%E -2.79%K -3.64%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-05 04:55
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.50%EV -9.73%E -6.58%K -20.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02%EV -18.41%E -4.18%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -12.00%E -2.79%K -3.64%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-05 04:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.62%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-04-05 04:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.62%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-04-05 04:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.62%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-04-05 04:55
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.62%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61%1.1%2026-04-05 04:50
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.49%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.63%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88%1.9%2026-04-05 04:50
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.79%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59%2.1%2026-04-05 04:45