La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Melbourne Victory v Wellington Phoenix FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Melbourne Victory (Local)
Predicción 60.99%1.64momio equitativo
EV -4.24%
Ventaja -2.70%
Kelly -7.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.24%61.03%60.82%62.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.411.521.531.5770.92%65.96%65.36%63.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Wellington Phoenix FC (Visitante)
Predicción 18.54%5.39momio equitativo
EV +6.62%
Ventaja +1.15%
Kelly +1.39%
Crecimiento +0.092%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.57%18.48%18.73%20.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.405.195.155.7522.73%19.27%19.42%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 20.46%4.89momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.239%
Kelly -0.302%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.64%20.49%20.45%23.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.474.504.8327.78%22.37%22.22%20.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV +6.62%E +1.15%K +1.39%G +0.092% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 04:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.38%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.27%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.36%EV -2.79%E -0.588%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 04:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.38%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.27%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.36%EV -2.79%E -0.588%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 04:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.30%EV -7.90%E -5.23%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 04:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.30%EV -7.90%E -5.23%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 04:50 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.16%EV -8.51%E -5.67%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 04:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -9.12%E -6.12%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 04:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -9.12%E -6.12%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 04:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -9.12%E -6.12%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 04:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -9.12%E -6.12%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 04:50 |
| Casumo | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -9.12%E -6.12%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 04:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -9.12%E -6.12%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 04:50 |
| betPARX | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -9.12%E -6.12%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 04:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV +1.99%E +0.362%K +0.442%G +0.009% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -2.79%E -0.588%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 04:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV +1.99%E +0.362%K +0.442%G +0.009% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -2.79%E -0.588%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 04:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -8.51%E -5.67%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV +1.99%E +0.362%K +0.442%G +0.009% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 04:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -8.51%E -5.67%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +1.99%E +0.362%K +0.442%G +0.009% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 04:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -9.73%E -6.58%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV +1.99%E +0.362%K +0.442%G +0.009% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 04:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.12%EV -11.56%E -7.97%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.68%EV +0.134%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -13.02%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-05 04:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.12%EV -11.56%E -7.97%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.68%EV +0.134%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -13.02%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-05 04:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.31%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.99%EV -0.793%E -0.148%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.70%EV -4.84%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-05 04:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.45%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 18.07%EV -0.978%E -0.183%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.48%EV -3.61%E -0.767%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-05 04:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.33%EV -14.00%E -9.93%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.74%EV -2.65%E -0.504%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-05 04:50 |
| BetUS | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -6.07%E -3.94%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.26%EV -4.50%E -0.874%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.67%EV -6.88%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 04:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -7.29%E -4.80%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.12%EV -4.50%E -0.874%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.50%EV -6.88%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 04:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.41%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 04:45 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.41%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 04:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 04:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.87%EV -6.07%E -3.94%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 04:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.87%EV -6.07%E -3.94%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 04:55 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 04:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 04:40 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 04:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 04:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -12.17%E -8.45%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -26.33%E -7.31%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-04-05 04:40 |
| GTbets | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.20%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.16%EV -8.21%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.64%EV -1.15%E -0.239%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 04:50 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -8.21%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -8.93%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 04:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -8.21%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -8.93%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 04:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.98%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -10.99%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 04:45 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.98%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -10.99%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 04:44 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.13%EV -6.07%E -3.94%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.29%EV -10.99%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 04:45 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.99%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 04:44 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.99%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 04:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.99%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 04:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.99%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 04:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.72%EV -10.34%E -7.04%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -12.85%E -2.73%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-05 04:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -8.51%E -5.67%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -14.70%E -3.20%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-05 04:54 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.85%EV -12.78%E -8.94%K -29.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.92%EV -14.70%E -3.20%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.24%EV -12.00%E -2.79%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-05 04:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.50%EV -9.73%E -6.58%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02%EV -18.41%E -4.18%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -12.00%E -2.79%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-05 04:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.62% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 04:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.62% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 04:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.62% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 04:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.62% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 04:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.49% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.63% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88% | 1.9% | 2026-04-05 04:50 |
| Kalshi | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.79% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59% | 2.1% | 2026-04-05 04:45 |