L’École des cotesMelbourne Victory v Wellington Phoenix FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Melbourne Victory (Local)
Prévision 60.99%1.64cote équitable
EV -4.24%
Avantage -2.70%
Kelly -7.44%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.57
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.24%61.03%60.82%62.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.411.521.531.5770.92%65.96%65.36%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Wellington Phoenix FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 18.54%5.39cote équitable
EV +6.62%
Avantage +1.15%
Kelly +1.39%
Croissance +0.092%
avec la cote maximale 5.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.57%18.48%18.73%20.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.405.195.155.7522.73%19.27%19.42%17.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 20.46%4.89cote équitable
EV -1.15%
Avantage -0.239%
Kelly -0.302%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.83
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.64%20.49%20.45%23.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.474.504.8327.78%22.37%22.22%20.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.26%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.57%EV +6.62%E +1.15%K +1.39%G +0.092% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.17%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 04:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.38%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.27%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.36%EV -2.79%E -0.588%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 04:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.38%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.27%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.36%EV -2.79%E -0.588%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-05 04:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.30%EV -7.90%E -5.23%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 04:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.30%EV -7.90%E -5.23%K -15.49%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 04:50 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.16%EV -8.51%E -5.67%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-05 04:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -9.12%E -6.12%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 04:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -9.12%E -6.12%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 04:49 |
| TABtouch | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -9.12%E -6.12%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 04:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -9.12%E -6.12%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 04:50 |
| Casumo | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -9.12%E -6.12%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 04:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -9.12%E -6.12%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 04:50 |
| betPARX | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.32%EV -9.12%E -6.12%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.58%EV +3.84%E +0.686%K +0.835%G +0.032% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.10%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 04:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV +1.99%E +0.362%K +0.442%G +0.009% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -2.79%E -0.588%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 04:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV +1.99%E +0.362%K +0.442%G +0.009% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -2.79%E -0.588%K -0.745%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 04:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -8.51%E -5.67%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV +1.99%E +0.362%K +0.442%G +0.009% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-05 04:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -8.51%E -5.67%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +1.99%E +0.362%K +0.442%G +0.009% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-05 04:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -9.73%E -6.58%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV +1.99%E +0.362%K +0.442%G +0.009% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 04:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.12%EV -11.56%E -7.97%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.68%EV +0.134%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -13.02%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-05 04:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.12%EV -11.56%E -7.97%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.68%EV +0.134%E +0.025%K +0.031%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.20%EV -13.02%E -3.06%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-05 04:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.31%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.99%EV -0.793%E -0.148%K -0.182%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.70%EV -4.84%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-05 04:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.45%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 18.07%EV -0.978%E -0.183%K -0.225%G +0.000% | 4.71I 21.23%NM 20.48%EV -3.61%E -0.767%K -0.973%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-05 04:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.33%EV -14.00%E -9.93%K -34.15%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.74%EV -2.65%E -0.504%K -0.623%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -14.05%E -3.34%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-04-05 04:50 |
| BetUS | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -6.07%E -3.94%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.26%EV -4.50%E -0.874%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.67%EV -6.88%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 04:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.38%EV -7.29%E -4.80%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.12%EV -4.50%E -0.874%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.50%EV -6.88%E -1.51%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 04:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.41%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 04:45 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.41%EV -4.24%E -2.70%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 04:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-05 04:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.87%EV -6.07%E -3.94%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 04:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.87%EV -6.07%E -3.94%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 04:55 |
| TAB | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 04:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-05 04:40 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 04:39 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-05 04:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -12.17%E -8.45%K -27.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -7.28%E -1.46%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -26.33%E -7.31%K -10.13%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-04-05 04:40 |
| GTbets | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.20%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.16%EV -8.21%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.83I 20.70%NM 19.64%EV -1.15%E -0.239%K -0.302%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-05 04:50 |
| Betsson | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -8.21%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -8.93%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 04:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.19%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -8.21%E -1.66%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -8.93%E -2.01%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 04:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.98%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -10.99%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 04:45 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.98%EV -5.46%E -3.52%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -10.99%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-05 04:44 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.13%EV -6.07%E -3.94%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.29%EV -10.99%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -7.91%E -1.76%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-05 04:45 |
| William Hill | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.99%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 04:44 |
| 888sport | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.99%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 04:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.99%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 04:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.81%EV -6.68%E -4.37%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.99%E -2.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.13%EV -11.39%E -2.63%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-05 04:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 60.72%EV -10.34%E -7.04%K -22.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.99%EV -12.85%E -2.73%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.29%EV -9.95%E -2.26%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-05 04:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%EV -8.51%E -5.67%K -17.02%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -14.70%E -3.20%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -5.86%E -1.27%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-05 04:54 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 60.85%EV -12.78%E -8.94%K -29.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.92%EV -14.70%E -3.20%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.24%EV -12.00%E -2.79%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-05 04:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.50%EV -9.73%E -6.58%K -20.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.02%EV -18.41%E -4.18%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.48%EV -12.00%E -2.79%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-05 04:54 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.62% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 04:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.62% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 04:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.62% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 04:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.62% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.61% | 1.1% | 2026-04-05 04:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.49% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.63% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.88% | 1.9% | 2026-04-05 04:50 |
| Kalshi | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.79% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.62% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59% | 2.1% | 2026-04-05 04:45 |