赔率学院Melbourne Victory v Newcastle Jets FC
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Melbourne Victory (主队)
预测 42.06%2.38公平赔率
EV +0.939%
优势 +0.391%
Kelly +0.671%
增长率 +0.006%
假设最高赔率为 2.40
博彩公司预测分布
38.83%42.05%42.11%47.30%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.872.152.202.4053.48%46.62%45.45%41.67%MIN均值中位数MAX
Newcastle Jets FC (客队)
预测 34.00%2.94公平赔率
EV +10.49%
优势 +3.23%
Kelly +4.66%
增长率 +0.489%
假设最高赔率为 3.25
博彩公司预测分布
29.37%34.01%33.93%37.28%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
2.502.852.753.2540.00%35.14%36.36%30.77%MIN均值中位数MAX
平局
预测 23.95%4.18公平赔率
EV -1.35%
优势 -0.327%
Kelly -0.431%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.12
博彩公司预测分布
22.92%23.95%23.96%26.33%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.253.893.904.1230.77%25.69%25.64%24.27%MIN均值中位数MAX
博彩公司赔率 (50 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.30%EV -15.04%E -7.45%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV +10.49%E +3.23%K +4.66%G +0.489% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%EV -1.82%E -0.445%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -15.88%E -7.94%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV +8.79%E +2.75%K +4.00%G +0.351% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| LeoVegas | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -15.88%E -7.94%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV +8.79%E +2.75%K +4.00%G +0.351% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Unibet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.09%EV -16.73%E -8.45%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Casumo | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| betPARX | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.12%EV -19.67%E -10.30%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV +3.69%E +1.21%K +1.80%G +0.066% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -7.81%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.12%EV -19.67%E -10.30%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV +3.69%E +1.21%K +1.80%G +0.066% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -7.81%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.13%EV -21.35%E -11.42%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV +1.99%E +0.664%K +0.995%G +0.020% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.77%EV -9.15%E -4.24%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.60%EV -1.41%E -0.486%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 09:24 |
| GTbets | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%EV -10.00%E -4.67%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.77%EV -1.75%E -0.605%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.98%EV -1.35%E -0.327%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 09:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.03%EV -3.27%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -2.77%E -0.968%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.03%EV -3.27%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -2.77%E -0.968%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.52%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.11%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 09:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.67%EV -2.43%E -1.05%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.52%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.81%EV -2.78%E -0.685%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.14%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.86%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 09:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 09:19 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 09:19 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 09:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 09:24 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 09:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 09:24 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 09:24 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -9.58%E -4.45%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.51%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 09:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.58%E -4.45%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -13.78%E -6.72%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.92%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-17 09:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.49%EV -13.78%E -6.72%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.42%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-17 09:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%EV -6.21%E -2.79%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.16%EV -7.19%E -2.63%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.03%EV -7.09%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Bovada | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.38%EV -4.53%E -1.99%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.53%EV -7.53%E -2.77%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 09:28 |
| BetUS | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.38%EV -4.53%E -1.99%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.53%EV -7.53%E -2.77%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.74%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.15%EV -7.53%E -2.77%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.74%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.15%EV -7.53%E -2.77%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.16%E -0.495%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.52%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.68%EV -3.02%E -0.746%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -7.81%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Everygame | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.84%EV -15.88%E -7.94%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.09%EV -9.91%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-17 09:24 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -10.93%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 09:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -10.93%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -10.93%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 09:30 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -10.93%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.17%EV -12.94%E -6.25%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.58%EV -11.61%E -4.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.25%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.75%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.92%EV -11.61%E -4.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.33%EV -22.18%E -6.82%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-04-17 09:20 |
| TAB | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV +0.939%E +0.391%K +0.671%G +0.006% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -15.01%E -6.00%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 09:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 09:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.06% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Kalshi | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.72% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.99% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30% | 2.9% | 2026-04-17 09:30 |