L’École des cotesMelbourne Victory v Newcastle Jets FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Melbourne Victory (Local)
Prévision 42.06%2.38cote équitable
EV +0.939%
Avantage +0.391%
Kelly +0.671%
Croissance +0.006%
avec la cote maximale 2.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.83%42.05%42.11%47.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.872.152.202.4053.48%46.62%45.45%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Newcastle Jets FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 34.00%2.94cote équitable
EV +10.49%
Avantage +3.23%
Kelly +4.66%
Croissance +0.489%
avec la cote maximale 3.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.37%34.01%33.93%37.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.852.753.2540.00%35.14%36.36%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 23.95%4.18cote équitable
EV -1.35%
Avantage -0.327%
Kelly -0.431%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.12
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.92%23.95%23.96%26.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.893.904.1230.77%25.69%25.64%24.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.30%EV -15.04%E -7.45%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV +10.49%E +3.23%K +4.66%G +0.489% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%EV -1.82%E -0.445%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -15.88%E -7.94%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV +8.79%E +2.75%K +4.00%G +0.351% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| LeoVegas | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -15.88%E -7.94%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV +8.79%E +2.75%K +4.00%G +0.351% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Unibet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.09%EV -16.73%E -8.45%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Casumo | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| betPARX | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.12%EV -19.67%E -10.30%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV +3.69%E +1.21%K +1.80%G +0.066% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -7.81%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.12%EV -19.67%E -10.30%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV +3.69%E +1.21%K +1.80%G +0.066% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -7.81%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.13%EV -21.35%E -11.42%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV +1.99%E +0.664%K +0.995%G +0.020% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.77%EV -9.15%E -4.24%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.60%EV -1.41%E -0.486%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 09:24 |
| GTbets | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%EV -10.00%E -4.67%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.77%EV -1.75%E -0.605%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.98%EV -1.35%E -0.327%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 09:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.03%EV -3.27%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -2.77%E -0.968%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.03%EV -3.27%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -2.77%E -0.968%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.52%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.11%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 09:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.67%EV -2.43%E -1.05%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.52%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.81%EV -2.78%E -0.685%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.14%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.86%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 09:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 09:19 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 09:19 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 09:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 09:24 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 09:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 09:24 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 09:24 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -9.58%E -4.45%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.51%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 09:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.58%E -4.45%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -13.78%E -6.72%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.92%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-17 09:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.49%EV -13.78%E -6.72%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.42%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-17 09:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%EV -6.21%E -2.79%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.16%EV -7.19%E -2.63%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.03%EV -7.09%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Bovada | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.38%EV -4.53%E -1.99%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.53%EV -7.53%E -2.77%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 09:28 |
| BetUS | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.38%EV -4.53%E -1.99%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.53%EV -7.53%E -2.77%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.74%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.15%EV -7.53%E -2.77%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.74%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.15%EV -7.53%E -2.77%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.16%E -0.495%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.52%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.68%EV -3.02%E -0.746%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -7.81%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Everygame | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.84%EV -15.88%E -7.94%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.09%EV -9.91%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-17 09:24 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -10.93%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 09:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -10.93%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -10.93%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 09:30 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -10.93%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.17%EV -12.94%E -6.25%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.58%EV -11.61%E -4.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.25%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.75%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.92%EV -11.61%E -4.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.33%EV -22.18%E -6.82%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-04-17 09:20 |
| TAB | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV +0.939%E +0.391%K +0.671%G +0.006% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -15.01%E -6.00%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 09:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 09:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.06% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Kalshi | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.72% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.99% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30% | 2.9% | 2026-04-17 09:30 |