La escuela de los momiosMelbourne Victory v Newcastle Jets FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Melbourne Victory (Local)
Predicción 42.06%2.38momio equitativo
EV +0.939%
Ventaja +0.391%
Kelly +0.671%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.83%42.05%42.11%47.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.872.152.202.4053.48%46.62%45.45%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Newcastle Jets FC (Visitante)
Predicción 34.00%2.94momio equitativo
EV +10.49%
Ventaja +3.23%
Kelly +4.66%
Crecimiento +0.489%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.37%34.01%33.93%37.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.852.753.2540.00%35.14%36.36%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.95%4.18momio equitativo
EV -1.35%
Ventaja -0.327%
Kelly -0.431%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.92%23.95%23.96%26.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.893.904.1230.77%25.69%25.64%24.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.30%EV -15.04%E -7.45%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV +10.49%E +3.23%K +4.66%G +0.489% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%EV -1.82%E -0.445%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -15.88%E -7.94%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV +8.79%E +2.75%K +4.00%G +0.351% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| LeoVegas | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -15.88%E -7.94%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV +8.79%E +2.75%K +4.00%G +0.351% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Unibet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.09%EV -16.73%E -8.45%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Casumo | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| betPARX | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.12%EV -19.67%E -10.30%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV +3.69%E +1.21%K +1.80%G +0.066% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -7.81%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.12%EV -19.67%E -10.30%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV +3.69%E +1.21%K +1.80%G +0.066% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -7.81%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.13%EV -21.35%E -11.42%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV +1.99%E +0.664%K +0.995%G +0.020% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.77%EV -9.15%E -4.24%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.60%EV -1.41%E -0.486%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 09:24 |
| GTbets | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%EV -10.00%E -4.67%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.77%EV -1.75%E -0.605%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.98%EV -1.35%E -0.327%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 09:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.03%EV -3.27%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -2.77%E -0.968%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.03%EV -3.27%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -2.77%E -0.968%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.52%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.11%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 09:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.67%EV -2.43%E -1.05%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.52%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.81%EV -2.78%E -0.685%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.14%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.86%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 09:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 09:19 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 09:19 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 09:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 09:24 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 09:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 09:24 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 09:24 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -9.58%E -4.45%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.51%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 09:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.58%E -4.45%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -13.78%E -6.72%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.92%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-17 09:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.49%EV -13.78%E -6.72%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.42%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-17 09:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%EV -6.21%E -2.79%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.16%EV -7.19%E -2.63%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.03%EV -7.09%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Bovada | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.38%EV -4.53%E -1.99%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.53%EV -7.53%E -2.77%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 09:28 |
| BetUS | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.38%EV -4.53%E -1.99%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.53%EV -7.53%E -2.77%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.74%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.15%EV -7.53%E -2.77%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.74%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.15%EV -7.53%E -2.77%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.16%E -0.495%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.52%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.68%EV -3.02%E -0.746%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -7.81%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Everygame | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.84%EV -15.88%E -7.94%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.09%EV -9.91%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-17 09:24 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -10.93%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 09:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -10.93%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -10.93%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 09:30 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -10.93%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.17%EV -12.94%E -6.25%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.58%EV -11.61%E -4.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.25%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.75%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.92%EV -11.61%E -4.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.33%EV -22.18%E -6.82%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-04-17 09:20 |
| TAB | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV +0.939%E +0.391%K +0.671%G +0.006% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -15.01%E -6.00%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 09:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 09:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.06% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Kalshi | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.72% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.99% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30% | 2.9% | 2026-04-17 09:30 |