Школа коэффициентов

Melbourne Victory v Newcastle Jets FC

Начало: 2026-04-17 09:35 UTC

Итог: Melbourne Victory 2–2 Newcastle Jets FC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

50 букмекерских контор (13 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Melbourne Victory (Хозяева)

Прогноз 42.06%2.38справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.939%
Преимущество +0.391%
Kelly +0.671%
Рост +0.006%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.40

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
38.83%42.05%42.11%47.30%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.872.152.202.4053.48%46.62%45.45%41.67%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Newcastle Jets FC (Гости)

Прогноз 34.00%2.94справедливый коэффициент
EV +10.49%
Преимущество +3.23%
Kelly +4.66%
Рост +0.489%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.25

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.37%34.01%33.93%37.28%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.502.852.753.2540.00%35.14%36.36%30.77%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 23.95%4.18справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.35%
Преимущество -0.327%
Kelly -0.431%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.12

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
22.92%23.95%23.96%26.33%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.253.893.904.1230.77%25.69%25.64%24.27%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (50 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 47.30%EV -15.04%E -7.45%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV +10.49%E +3.23%K +4.66%G +0.489%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%EV -1.82%E -0.445%K -0.589%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 08:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -15.88%E -7.94%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV +8.79%E +2.75%K +4.00%G +0.351%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 08:39
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -15.88%E -7.94%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV +8.79%E +2.75%K +4.00%G +0.351%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 08:39
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.09%EV -16.73%E -8.45%K -17.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 08:39
Casumo1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 08:39
Unibet (NL)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 08:39
TABtouch1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 08:39
Grosvenor1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 08:39
Unibet (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 08:39
betPARX1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 08:39
Svenska Spel1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 08:39
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.12%EV -19.67%E -10.30%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV +3.69%E +1.21%K +1.80%G +0.066%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -7.81%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 08:39
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.12%EV -19.67%E -10.30%K -21.61%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV +3.69%E +1.21%K +1.80%G +0.066%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -7.81%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 08:39
PMU (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 47.13%EV -21.35%E -11.42%K -24.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV +1.99%E +0.664%K +0.995%G +0.020%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-17 08:39
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 43.77%EV -9.15%E -4.24%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.60%EV -1.41%E -0.486%K -0.742%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 09:24
GTbets2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%EV -10.00%E -4.67%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.77%EV -1.75%E -0.605%K -0.925%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.98%EV -1.35%E -0.327%K -0.431%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 09:24
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.03%EV -3.27%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -2.77%E -0.968%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-17 09:29
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 42.03%EV -3.27%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -2.77%E -0.968%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-17 09:29
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.52%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.11%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-17 09:25
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.67%EV -2.43%E -1.05%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.52%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.81%EV -2.78%E -0.685%K -0.909%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-17 09:29
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 42.14%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.86%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 09:25
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 09:19
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 09:19
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 09:29
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 09:24
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 09:24
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 09:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 09:24
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 09:24
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -9.58%E -4.45%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.51%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 09:30
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-17 09:29
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.58%E -4.45%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-17 09:29
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -13.78%E -6.72%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.92%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 09:25
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.49%EV -13.78%E -6.72%K -13.12%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.42%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-17 09:25
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%EV -6.21%E -2.79%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.16%EV -7.19%E -2.63%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.03%EV -7.09%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 09:29
Bovada2.27I 44.05%NM 41.38%EV -4.53%E -1.99%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.53%EV -7.53%E -2.77%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 09:28
BetUS2.27I 44.05%NM 41.38%EV -4.53%E -1.99%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.53%EV -7.53%E -2.77%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 09:29
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.74%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.15%EV -7.53%E -2.77%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 09:29
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.74%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.15%EV -7.53%E -2.77%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 09:29
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.16%E -0.495%K -0.862%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.52%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.68%EV -3.02%E -0.746%K -0.991%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 09:29
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -7.81%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 09:29
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 09:29
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.84%EV -15.88%E -7.94%K -15.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.09%EV -9.91%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-17 09:24
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -10.93%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 09:30
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -10.93%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 09:29
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -10.93%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 09:30
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -10.93%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 09:29
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.17%EV -12.94%E -6.25%K -12.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.58%EV -11.61%E -4.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.25%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-17 09:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.75%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.92%EV -11.61%E -4.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.33%EV -22.18%E -6.82%K -9.86%G +0.000%16.8%2026-04-17 09:20
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV +0.939%E +0.391%K +0.671%G +0.006%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -15.01%E -6.00%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 09:29
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%0.7%2026-04-17 09:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%0.7%2026-04-17 09:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%0.7%2026-04-17 09:30
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%0.7%2026-04-17 09:30
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.06%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09%1.2%2026-04-17 09:29
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 41.72%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.99%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30%2.9%2026-04-17 09:30