مدرسة الاحتمالاتالعربية
Melbourne Victory v Newcastle Jets FC
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Melbourne Victory (المضيف)
التنبؤ 42.06%2.38السعر العادل
EV +0.939%
الأفضلية +0.391%
Kelly +0.671%
النمو +0.006%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.40
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
38.83%42.05%42.11%47.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.872.152.202.4053.48%46.62%45.45%41.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Newcastle Jets FC (الضيف)
التنبؤ 34.00%2.94السعر العادل
EV +10.49%
الأفضلية +3.23%
Kelly +4.66%
النمو +0.489%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.25
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
29.37%34.01%33.93%37.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.852.753.2540.00%35.14%36.36%30.77%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
تعادل
التنبؤ 23.95%4.18السعر العادل
EV -1.35%
الأفضلية -0.327%
Kelly -0.431%
النمو +0.000%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.12
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.92%23.95%23.96%26.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.893.904.1230.77%25.69%25.64%24.27%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (50 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | تعادل | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.30%EV -15.04%E -7.45%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.40%EV +10.49%E +3.23%K +4.66%G +0.489% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%EV -1.82%E -0.445%K -0.589%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -15.88%E -7.94%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV +8.79%E +2.75%K +4.00%G +0.351% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| LeoVegas | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -15.88%E -7.94%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV +8.79%E +2.75%K +4.00%G +0.351% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Unibet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.09%EV -16.73%E -8.45%K -17.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Casumo | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| TABtouch | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Grosvenor | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| betPARX | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.20%EV -17.57%E -8.96%K -18.30%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%EV +7.09%E +2.25%K +3.30%G +0.234% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.42%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.12%EV -19.67%E -10.30%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV +3.69%E +1.21%K +1.80%G +0.066% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -7.81%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.12%EV -19.67%E -10.30%K -21.61%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.51%EV +3.69%E +1.21%K +1.80%G +0.066% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -7.81%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.13%EV -21.35%E -11.42%K -24.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV +1.99%E +0.664%K +0.995%G +0.020% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-17 08:39 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.77%EV -9.15%E -4.24%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.60%EV -1.41%E -0.486%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 09:24 |
| GTbets | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.25%EV -10.00%E -4.67%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.77%EV -1.75%E -0.605%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.98%EV -1.35%E -0.327%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 09:24 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.03%EV -3.27%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -2.77%E -0.968%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.03%EV -3.27%E -1.42%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.80%EV -2.77%E -0.968%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.17%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.52%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.11%E -1.09%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.92%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-17 09:25 |
| Pinnacle | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.67%EV -2.43%E -1.05%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.52%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.81%EV -2.78%E -0.685%K -0.909%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.14%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.86%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 09:25 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 09:19 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -4.81%E -1.72%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 09:19 |
| Fanatics | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.00%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 09:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 09:24 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 09:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.16%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 09:24 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.30%EV -7.47%E -3.40%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 09:24 |
| Bet Right | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.86%EV -9.58%E -4.45%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.51%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 09:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.69%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -4.22%E -1.05%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| betfred_uk | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.58%E -4.45%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -10.21%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -13.78%E -6.72%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.92%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.92%EV -5.42%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-17 09:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.49%EV -13.78%E -6.72%K -13.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.42%EV -6.51%E -2.37%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-17 09:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%EV -6.21%E -2.79%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.16%EV -7.19%E -2.63%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.88I 25.77%NM 24.03%EV -7.09%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Bovada | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.38%EV -4.53%E -1.99%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.53%EV -7.53%E -2.77%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 09:28 |
| BetUS | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.38%EV -4.53%E -1.99%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.53%EV -7.53%E -2.77%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.74%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.15%EV -7.53%E -2.77%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.74%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.15%EV -7.53%E -2.77%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -11.40%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -1.16%E -0.495%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.52%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.68%EV -3.02%E -0.746%K -0.991%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -4.11%E -1.80%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -7.81%E -2.03%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Everygame | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.57%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.84%EV -15.88%E -7.94%K -15.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.09%EV -9.91%E -3.74%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.07%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-17 09:24 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -10.93%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 09:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -10.93%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -10.93%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 09:30 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -5.37%E -2.39%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -10.93%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.01%E -2.37%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.17%EV -12.94%E -6.25%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.58%EV -11.61%E -4.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.25%EV -13.80%E -3.83%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.75%EV -11.68%E -5.56%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.92%EV -11.61%E -4.46%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.33%EV -22.18%E -6.82%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-04-17 09:20 |
| TAB | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.83%EV +0.939%E +0.391%K +0.671%G +0.006% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -15.01%E -6.00%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.61%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (6)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | تعادل | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 09:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 09:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.74% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23% | 0.7% | 2026-04-17 09:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.85% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.06% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 09:29 |
| Kalshi | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.72% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.99% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.30% | 2.9% | 2026-04-17 09:30 |