La scuola delle quote

Melbourne City v Western Sydney Wanderers

Inizio: 2026-04-04 08:35 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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49 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Melbourne City (Casa)

Previsione 51.34%1.95quota equa
EV -4.00%
Vantaggio -2.14%
Kelly -4.60%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.87

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.66%51.32%51.36%53.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.811.811.8758.82%55.22%55.25%53.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Western Sydney Wanderers (Trasferta)

Previsione 23.91%4.18quota equa
EV +0.440%
Vantaggio +0.105%
Kelly +0.137%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.12%23.92%23.90%25.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.903.904.2027.78%25.62%25.64%23.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.75%4.04quota equa
EV -2.99%
Vantaggio -0.762%
Kelly -1.02%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.92

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.04%24.76%24.74%26.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.733.753.9230.77%26.81%26.67%25.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV +0.440%E +0.105%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 08:30
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -10.16%E -5.81%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV +0.440%E +0.105%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 08:30
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.23%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.12%EV -0.038%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.65%EV -2.99%E -0.762%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 08:30
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.66%EV -4.00%E -2.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56%EV -1.95%E -0.476%K -0.630%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV -3.48%E -0.893%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 08:20
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.66%EV -4.00%E -2.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56%EV -1.95%E -0.476%K -0.630%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV -3.48%E -0.893%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 08:20
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 52.00%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.24%EV -3.15%E -0.777%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 08:30
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.36%EV -4.00%E -2.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -4.34%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%EV -3.48%E -0.893%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 08:19
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.03%EV -4.00%E -2.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%EV -4.34%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 08:15
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.03%EV -4.00%E -2.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%EV -4.34%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 08:15
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.30%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -4.34%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 08:24
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.30%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -4.34%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 08:10
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.34%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 08:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.34%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 08:10
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -4.34%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 08:30
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.54%EV -5.30%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -6.45%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 08:25
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 08:19
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -6.57%E -3.61%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 08:10
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 08:10
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 08:10
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 08:10
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 08:10
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 08:10
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 08:10
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 08:10
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.85%EV -4.51%E -2.43%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.25%EV -6.73%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 08:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.73%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 08:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.73%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 08:24
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.73%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 08:25
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.73%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 08:20
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.73%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 08:25
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 51.48%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 23.87%EV -7.69%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.64%EV -7.44%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 08:29
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -7.93%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 08:20
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 52.28%EV -12.21%E -7.14%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.22%EV -7.93%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.67%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 08:29
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 08:15
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 08:23
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 08:25
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 08:25
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 08:25
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%EV -9.65%E -5.48%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 08:30
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.16%E -5.81%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 08:10
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.16%E -5.81%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 08:09
Betr (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.32%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 08:15
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.43%EV -12.21%E -7.14%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -10.32%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-04 08:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.16%EV -11.19%E -6.47%K -15.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.14%EV -10.32%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -19.57%E -6.02%K -8.70%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-04 08:30
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -11.52%E -3.11%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 08:20
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -11.52%E -3.11%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 08:20
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -12.71%E -3.48%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -9.67%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 08:15
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.77%EV -12.73%E -7.49%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -12.71%E -3.48%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -9.67%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 08:30
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.25%EV -12.73%E -7.49%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.20%EV -13.91%E -3.86%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.54%EV -12.14%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-04 08:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-04-04 08:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-04-04 08:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%0.7%2026-04-04 08:30
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%0.7%2026-04-04 08:30
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.45%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-04-04 08:30
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.34%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.85%1.9%2026-04-04 08:30