La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Melbourne City v Western Sydney Wanderers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Melbourne City (Local)
Predicción 51.34%1.95momio equitativo
EV -4.00%
Ventaja -2.14%
Kelly -4.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.66%51.32%51.36%53.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.811.811.8758.82%55.22%55.25%53.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Western Sydney Wanderers (Visitante)
Predicción 23.91%4.18momio equitativo
EV +0.440%
Ventaja +0.105%
Kelly +0.137%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.12%23.92%23.90%25.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.903.904.2027.78%25.62%25.64%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.75%4.04momio equitativo
EV -2.99%
Ventaja -0.762%
Kelly -1.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.04%24.76%24.74%26.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.733.753.9230.77%26.81%26.67%25.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV +0.440%E +0.105%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -10.16%E -5.81%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV +0.440%E +0.105%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.23%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.12%EV -0.038%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.65%EV -2.99%E -0.762%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.66%EV -4.00%E -2.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56%EV -1.95%E -0.476%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV -3.48%E -0.893%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-04 08:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.66%EV -4.00%E -2.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56%EV -1.95%E -0.476%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV -3.48%E -0.893%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-04 08:20 |
| BetUS | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.00%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.24%EV -3.15%E -0.777%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.36%EV -4.00%E -2.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -4.34%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%EV -3.48%E -0.893%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-04 08:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.03%EV -4.00%E -2.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%EV -4.34%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 08:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.03%EV -4.00%E -2.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%EV -4.34%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-04 08:15 |
| Coral | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.30%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -4.34%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 08:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.30%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -4.34%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 08:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.34%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 08:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.34%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 08:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -4.34%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 23.54%EV -5.30%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -6.45%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 08:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 08:19 |
| Unibet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -6.57%E -3.61%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-04 08:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 08:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 08:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 08:10 |
| Casumo | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 08:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 08:10 |
| betPARX | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 08:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 08:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.85%EV -4.51%E -2.43%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.25%EV -6.73%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 08:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.73%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 08:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.73%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 08:24 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.73%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 08:25 |
| Everygame | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.73%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 08:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.73%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 08:25 |
| GTbets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.48%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.26%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 23.87%EV -7.69%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.64%EV -7.44%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 08:29 |
| PlayUp | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -7.93%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-04 08:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.28%EV -12.21%E -7.14%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.22%EV -7.93%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.67%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-04 08:29 |
| TAB | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 08:15 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 08:23 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 08:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 08:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-04 08:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%EV -9.65%E -5.48%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.16%E -5.81%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-04 08:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.16%E -5.81%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-04 08:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.32%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 08:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 51.43%EV -12.21%E -7.14%K -17.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -10.32%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-04 08:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 50.16%EV -11.19%E -6.47%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.14%EV -10.32%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -19.57%E -6.02%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -11.52%E -3.11%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 08:20 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -11.52%E -3.11%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-04 08:20 |
| Bet Right | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -12.71%E -3.48%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -9.67%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-04 08:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.77%EV -12.73%E -7.49%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -12.71%E -3.48%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -9.67%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.25%EV -12.73%E -7.49%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.20%EV -13.91%E -3.86%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.54%EV -12.14%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-04 08:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.56% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30% | 0.4% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.56% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30% | 0.4% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.70% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23% | 0.7% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.70% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23% | 0.7% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.45% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.34% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.85% | 1.9% | 2026-04-04 08:30 |