L’École des cotes

Melbourne City v Western Sydney Wanderers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 08:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Melbourne City (Local)

Prévision 51.34%1.95cote équitable
EV -4.00%
Avantage -2.14%
Kelly -4.60%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.66%51.32%51.36%53.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.811.811.8758.82%55.22%55.25%53.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Western Sydney Wanderers (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.91%4.18cote équitable
EV +0.440%
Avantage +0.105%
Kelly +0.137%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.12%23.92%23.90%25.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.903.904.2027.78%25.62%25.64%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.75%4.04cote équitable
EV -2.99%
Avantage -0.762%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.04%24.76%24.74%26.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.733.753.9230.77%26.81%26.67%25.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV +0.440%E +0.105%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 08:30
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -10.16%E -5.81%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV +0.440%E +0.105%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 08:30
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.23%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.12%EV -0.038%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.65%EV -2.99%E -0.762%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 08:30
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.66%EV -4.00%E -2.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56%EV -1.95%E -0.476%K -0.630%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV -3.48%E -0.893%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 08:20
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.66%EV -4.00%E -2.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56%EV -1.95%E -0.476%K -0.630%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV -3.48%E -0.893%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 08:20
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 52.00%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.24%EV -3.15%E -0.777%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 08:30
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.36%EV -4.00%E -2.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -4.34%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%EV -3.48%E -0.893%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 08:19
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.03%EV -4.00%E -2.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%EV -4.34%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 08:15
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.03%EV -4.00%E -2.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%EV -4.34%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 08:15
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.30%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -4.34%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 08:24
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.30%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -4.34%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 08:10
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.34%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 08:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.34%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 08:10
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -4.34%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 08:30
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.54%EV -5.30%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -6.45%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 08:25
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 08:19
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -6.57%E -3.61%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 08:10
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 08:10
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 08:10
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 08:10
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 08:10
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 08:10
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 08:10
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 08:10
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.85%EV -4.51%E -2.43%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.25%EV -6.73%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 08:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.73%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 08:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.73%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 08:24
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.73%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 08:25
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.73%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 08:20
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.73%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 08:25
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 51.48%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 23.87%EV -7.69%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.64%EV -7.44%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 08:29
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -7.93%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 08:20
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 52.28%EV -12.21%E -7.14%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.22%EV -7.93%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.67%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 08:29
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 08:15
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 08:23
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 08:25
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 08:25
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 08:25
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%EV -9.65%E -5.48%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 08:30
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.16%E -5.81%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 08:10
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.16%E -5.81%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 08:09
Betr (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.32%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 08:15
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.43%EV -12.21%E -7.14%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -10.32%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-04 08:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.16%EV -11.19%E -6.47%K -15.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.14%EV -10.32%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -19.57%E -6.02%K -8.70%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-04 08:30
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -11.52%E -3.11%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 08:20
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -11.52%E -3.11%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 08:20
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -12.71%E -3.48%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -9.67%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 08:15
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.77%EV -12.73%E -7.49%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -12.71%E -3.48%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -9.67%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 08:30
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.25%EV -12.73%E -7.49%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.20%EV -13.91%E -3.86%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.54%EV -12.14%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-04 08:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-04-04 08:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-04-04 08:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%0.7%2026-04-04 08:30
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%0.7%2026-04-04 08:30
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.45%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-04-04 08:30
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.34%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.85%1.9%2026-04-04 08:30