مدرسة الاحتمالات

Melbourne City v Western Sydney Wanderers

البداية: 2026-04-04 08:35 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Melbourne City (المضيف)

التنبؤ 51.34%1.95السعر العادل
EV -4.00%
الأفضلية -2.14%
Kelly -4.60%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.87

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
49.66%51.32%51.36%53.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.701.811.811.8758.82%55.22%55.25%53.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Western Sydney Wanderers (الضيف)

التنبؤ 23.91%4.18السعر العادل
EV +0.440%
الأفضلية +0.105%
Kelly +0.137%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.12%23.92%23.90%25.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.603.903.904.2027.78%25.62%25.64%23.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.75%4.04السعر العادل
EV -2.99%
الأفضلية -0.762%
Kelly -1.02%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.92

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.04%24.76%24.74%26.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.253.733.753.9230.77%26.81%26.67%25.51%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV +0.440%E +0.105%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 08:30
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -10.16%E -5.81%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV +0.440%E +0.105%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 08:30
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.23%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.12%EV -0.038%E -0.009%K -0.012%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.65%EV -2.99%E -0.762%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 08:30
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.66%EV -4.00%E -2.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56%EV -1.95%E -0.476%K -0.630%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV -3.48%E -0.893%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 08:20
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.66%EV -4.00%E -2.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56%EV -1.95%E -0.476%K -0.630%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.77%EV -3.48%E -0.893%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 08:20
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 52.00%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.24%EV -3.15%E -0.777%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 08:30
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.36%EV -4.00%E -2.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.01%EV -4.34%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%EV -3.48%E -0.893%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-04 08:19
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.03%EV -4.00%E -2.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%EV -4.34%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 08:15
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.03%EV -4.00%E -2.14%K -4.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%EV -4.34%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-04 08:15
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.30%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -4.34%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 08:24
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.30%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -4.34%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 08:10
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.34%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 08:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.34%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 08:10
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -4.34%E -1.09%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 08:30
Marathon Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.79%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.54%EV -5.30%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.66%EV -6.45%E -1.71%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 08:25
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 08:19
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.39%EV -6.57%E -3.61%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.94%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-04 08:10
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 08:10
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 08:10
Grosvenor1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 08:10
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 08:10
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 08:10
betPARX1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 08:10
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 51.35%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.53%EV -5.54%E -1.40%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 08:10
Codere (IT)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.85%EV -4.51%E -2.43%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.25%EV -6.73%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 08:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.73%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 08:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.73%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 08:24
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.73%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 08:25
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 51.09%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -6.73%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 08:20
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -6.73%E -1.73%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 08:25
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 51.48%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 23.87%EV -7.69%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.64%EV -7.44%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 08:29
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 50.66%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -7.93%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-04 08:20
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 52.28%EV -12.21%E -7.14%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.22%EV -7.93%E -2.06%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -9.67%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-04 08:29
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 50.33%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-04 08:15
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 08:23
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 08:25
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 08:25
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.19%EV -7.59%E -4.22%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.25%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-04 08:25
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%EV -9.65%E -5.48%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.96%E -1.57%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-04 08:30
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.16%E -5.81%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 08:10
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -10.16%E -5.81%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.13%E -2.40%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.91%E -3.03%K -4.20%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-04 08:09
Betr (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -6.05%E -3.31%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -10.32%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.19%E -1.92%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 08:15
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.43%EV -12.21%E -7.14%K -17.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.45%EV -10.32%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.12%EV -13.38%E -3.82%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-04 08:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 50.16%EV -11.19%E -6.47%K -15.32%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.14%EV -10.32%E -2.75%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.70%EV -19.57%E -6.02%K -8.70%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-04 08:30
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -11.52%E -3.11%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 08:20
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -11.52%E -3.11%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.43%E -2.28%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-04 08:20
Bet Right1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -12.71%E -3.48%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -9.67%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-04 08:15
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.77%EV -12.73%E -7.49%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -12.71%E -3.48%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -9.67%E -2.65%K -3.65%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-04 08:30
NetBet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 51.25%EV -12.73%E -7.49%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.20%EV -13.91%E -3.86%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.54%EV -12.14%E -3.42%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-04 08:24
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-04-04 08:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.56%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.30%0.4%2026-04-04 08:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%0.7%2026-04-04 08:30
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.70%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.23%0.7%2026-04-04 08:30
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.45%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-04-04 08:30
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.34%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.85%1.9%2026-04-04 08:30