语言:简体中文
Melbourne City v Adelaide United
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Melbourne City (主队)
预测 48.88%2.05公平赔率
EV -2.24%
优势 -1.12%
Kelly -2.24%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.00
博彩公司预测分布
46.62%48.95%48.85%49.54%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.781.921.922.0056.18%52.21%52.08%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
Adelaide United (客队)
预测 26.31%3.80公平赔率
EV -2.65%
优势 -0.716%
Kelly -0.981%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.70
博彩公司预测分布
25.74%26.27%26.35%27.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.463.503.7032.26%28.86%28.57%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 24.81%4.03公平赔率
EV -0.760%
优势 -0.190%
Kelly -0.253%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 4.00
博彩公司预测分布
23.90%24.77%24.81%27.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.683.704.0032.26%27.17%27.03%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Melbourne City (主队)：48.88%；Adelaide United (客队)：26.31%；平局：24.81%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.03。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为4.00，期望值为-0.760%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (51 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 08:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 08:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.71%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 08:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.71%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.71%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 08:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.71%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.71%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 08:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.71%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 08:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.71%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.72%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-20 21:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.72%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 14:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 07:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.61%EV -5.17%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -5.72%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.11%EV -5.17%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 14:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.11%EV -5.17%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.54%EV -5.66%E -2.93%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -0.760%E -0.190%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 16:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.37%EV -5.66%E -2.93%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -2.65%E -0.716%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.88%EV -4.98%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-20 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.37%EV -5.66%E -2.93%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -2.65%E -0.716%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.88%EV -4.98%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-20 14:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.30%EV -5.66%E -2.93%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.86%EV -3.18%E -0.863%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.84%EV -4.98%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 14:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.23%EV -6.15%E -3.20%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.83%EV -3.70%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 24.94%EV -5.97%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-20 00:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.15%E -3.20%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 10:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.15%E -3.20%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 10:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -6.15%E -3.20%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 14:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.91%EV -6.15%E -3.20%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -11.92%E -3.36%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.91%EV -6.15%E -3.20%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -11.92%E -3.36%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-23 08:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -3.96%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 14:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -3.96%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 02:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 07:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.72%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-20 21:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.72%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 09:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 07:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.72%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-20 14:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.44%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.23%E -2.67%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 16:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-20 21:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.32%EV -7.62%E -4.03%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.79%EV -6.71%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 09:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.89%EV -8.11%E -4.31%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -14.41%E -4.18%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -9.57%E -5.18%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-24 03:08 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.57%E -5.18%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-19 08:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.57%E -5.18%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-19 08:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.57%E -5.18%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-19 08:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.57%E -5.18%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-19 08:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.30%EV -10.06%E -5.47%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.35%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-22 14:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -10.55%E -5.77%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -23.09%E -7.45%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-04-23 11:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.41%EV -11.53%E -6.37%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.04%EV -13.17%E -3.76%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-22 14:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.63%EV -13.00%E -7.30%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -13.17%E -3.76%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-23 06:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 47.84%EV -13.00%E -7.30%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.47%EV -18.44%E -5.95%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.68%EV -14.41%E -4.18%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-04-22 14:24 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.70% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.14% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 14:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.70% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.14% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.96% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 22:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.62% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.15% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23% | 7.1% | 2026-04-24 00:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |