La escuela de los momiosMelbourne City v Adelaide United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Melbourne City (Local)
Predicción 48.88%2.05momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -2.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.62%48.95%48.85%49.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.781.921.922.0056.18%52.21%52.08%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Adelaide United (Visitante)
Predicción 26.31%3.80momio equitativo
EV -2.65%
Ventaja -0.716%
Kelly -0.981%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.74%26.27%26.35%27.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.463.503.7032.26%28.86%28.57%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.81%4.03momio equitativo
EV -0.760%
Ventaja -0.190%
Kelly -0.253%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.90%24.77%24.81%27.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.683.704.0032.26%27.17%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 08:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| Unibet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 08:59 |
| betPARX | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.71%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 08:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.71%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| Casumo | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.71%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 08:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.71%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.71%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 08:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.71%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 08:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.71%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.72%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-20 21:50 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.72%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 14:54 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 07:09 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.61%EV -5.17%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -5.72%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 19:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.11%EV -5.17%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 14:54 |
| Neds | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.11%EV -5.17%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 14:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.54%EV -5.66%E -2.93%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -0.760%E -0.190%K -0.253%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-23 16:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.37%EV -5.66%E -2.93%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -2.65%E -0.716%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.88%EV -4.98%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-20 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.37%EV -5.66%E -2.93%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -2.65%E -0.716%K -0.981%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.88%EV -4.98%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-20 14:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.30%EV -5.66%E -2.93%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.86%EV -3.18%E -0.863%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.84%EV -4.98%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 14:34 |
| GTbets | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.23%EV -6.15%E -3.20%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.83%EV -3.70%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 24.94%EV -5.97%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-20 00:15 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.15%E -3.20%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 10:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.15%E -3.20%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 10:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -6.15%E -3.20%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-22 14:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.91%EV -6.15%E -3.20%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -11.92%E -3.36%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.91%EV -6.15%E -3.20%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -11.92%E -3.36%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-23 08:59 |
| Bovada | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -3.96%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 14:45 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -3.96%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 02:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 07:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.72%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-20 21:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.72%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 09:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 07:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-23 09:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.72%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-20 14:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.44%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.23%E -2.67%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 16:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-20 21:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.32%EV -7.62%E -4.03%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.79%EV -6.71%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 09:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.89%EV -8.11%E -4.31%K -9.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -14.41%E -4.18%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-23 09:00 |
| Everygame | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -9.57%E -5.18%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-24 03:08 |
| 888sport | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.57%E -5.18%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-19 08:20 |
| William Hill | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.57%E -5.18%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-19 08:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.57%E -5.18%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-19 08:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.57%E -5.18%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-19 08:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 48.30%EV -10.06%E -5.47%K -11.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.35%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-22 14:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -10.55%E -5.77%K -12.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -23.09%E -7.45%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-04-23 11:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.41%EV -11.53%E -6.37%K -14.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.04%EV -13.17%E -3.76%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-22 14:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.63%EV -13.00%E -7.30%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -13.17%E -3.76%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-04-23 06:39 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 47.84%EV -13.00%E -7.30%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.47%EV -18.44%E -5.95%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.68%EV -14.41%E -4.18%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-04-22 14:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.70% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.14% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 14:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.70% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.14% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16% | 4.8% | 2026-04-23 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.96% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 22:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.62% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.15% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23% | 7.1% | 2026-04-24 00:39 |
| Matchbook | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 09:14 |