L’École des cotes

Melbourne City v Adelaide United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-26 07:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Melbourne City (Local)

Prévision 48.88%2.05cote équitable
EV -2.24%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -2.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.62%48.95%48.85%49.54%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.921.922.0056.18%52.21%52.08%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Adelaide United (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.31%3.80cote équitable
EV -2.65%
Avantage -0.716%
Kelly -0.981%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.74%26.27%26.35%27.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.463.503.7032.26%28.86%28.57%27.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.81%4.03cote équitable
EV -0.760%
Avantage -0.190%
Kelly -0.253%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.90%24.77%24.81%27.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.683.704.0032.26%27.17%27.03%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 08:59
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 09:00
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 08:59
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.71%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 08:59
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.71%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:00
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.71%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 08:59
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.71%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:00
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.71%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 08:59
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.71%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 08:59
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.71%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:00
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.72%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 21:50
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.72%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 14:54
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 07:09
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.61%EV -5.17%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -5.72%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 19:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.11%EV -5.17%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 14:54
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 48.11%EV -5.17%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 14:55
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.54%EV -5.66%E -2.93%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -0.760%E -0.190%K -0.253%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 16:54
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.37%EV -5.66%E -2.93%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -2.65%E -0.716%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.88%EV -4.98%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 14:50
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.37%EV -5.66%E -2.93%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -2.65%E -0.716%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.88%EV -4.98%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 14:50
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.30%EV -5.66%E -2.93%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.86%EV -3.18%E -0.863%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.84%EV -4.98%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 14:34
GTbets1.92I 52.08%NM 49.23%EV -6.15%E -3.20%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.83%EV -3.70%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.94%EV -5.97%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 00:15
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.15%E -3.20%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 10:25
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.15%E -3.20%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 10:25
PlayUp1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -6.15%E -3.20%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 14:34
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.91%EV -6.15%E -3.20%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -11.92%E -3.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 09:00
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.91%EV -6.15%E -3.20%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -11.92%E -3.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 08:59
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -3.96%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 14:45
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -3.96%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 02:14
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 07:30
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.72%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 21:49
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.72%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 09:35
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 07:30
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:15
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.72%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:14
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 14:49
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 48.44%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.23%E -2.67%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 16:55
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 21:49
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.32%EV -7.62%E -4.03%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.79%EV -6.71%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 09:00
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.89%EV -8.11%E -4.31%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -14.41%E -4.18%K -5.88%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-23 09:00
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -9.57%E -5.18%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-24 03:08
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.57%E -5.18%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 08:20
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.57%E -5.18%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 08:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.57%E -5.18%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 08:20
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.57%E -5.18%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 08:20
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.30%EV -10.06%E -5.47%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.35%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-22 14:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -10.55%E -5.77%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -23.09%E -7.45%K -10.99%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-23 11:14
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.41%EV -11.53%E -6.37%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.04%EV -13.17%E -3.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-22 14:39
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 48.63%EV -13.00%E -7.30%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -13.17%E -3.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-23 06:39
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 47.84%EV -13.00%E -7.30%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.47%EV -18.44%E -5.95%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.68%EV -14.41%E -4.18%K -5.88%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-22 14:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.14%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%4.8%2026-04-23 14:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.14%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%4.8%2026-04-23 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.96%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%5.3%2026-04-23 22:05
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%6.1%2026-04-23 22:30
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 48.62%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.15%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%7.1%2026-04-24 00:39
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%10.7%2026-04-23 09:14