A Escola das Odds

Melbourne City v Adelaide United

Início: 2026-04-26 07:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Melbourne City (Local)

Previsão 48.88%2.05odd justa
EV -2.24%
Vantagem -1.12%
Kelly -2.24%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.62%48.95%48.85%49.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.781.921.922.0056.18%52.21%52.08%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Adelaide United (Visitante)

Previsão 26.31%3.80odd justa
EV -2.65%
Vantagem -0.716%
Kelly -0.981%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.74%26.27%26.35%27.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.463.503.7032.26%28.86%28.57%27.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.81%4.03odd justa
EV -0.760%
Vantagem -0.190%
Kelly -0.253%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.90%24.77%24.81%27.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.683.704.0032.26%27.17%27.03%25.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 08:59
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 09:00
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -2.24%E -1.12%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 08:59
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.71%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 08:59
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.71%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:00
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.71%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 08:59
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.71%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:00
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.71%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 08:59
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.71%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 08:59
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -3.71%E -1.88%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -11.86%E -3.54%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:00
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.72%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-20 21:50
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.67%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.72%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 09:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 14:54
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.69%E -2.40%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 07:09
Codere (IT)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.61%EV -5.17%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -5.72%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 19:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.11%EV -5.17%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 14:54
Neds1.94I 51.55%NM 48.11%EV -5.17%E -2.67%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 14:55
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.54%EV -5.66%E -2.93%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.90%EV -0.760%E -0.190%K -0.253%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 16:54
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.37%EV -5.66%E -2.93%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -2.65%E -0.716%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.88%EV -4.98%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 14:50
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 49.37%EV -5.66%E -2.93%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -2.65%E -0.716%K -0.981%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.88%EV -4.98%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-20 14:50
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.30%EV -5.66%E -2.93%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.86%EV -3.18%E -0.863%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.84%EV -4.98%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 14:34
GTbets1.92I 52.08%NM 49.23%EV -6.15%E -3.20%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.83%EV -3.70%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 24.94%EV -5.97%E -1.58%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 00:15
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.15%E -3.20%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 10:25
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -6.15%E -3.20%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 10:25
PlayUp1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -6.15%E -3.20%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 14:34
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.91%EV -6.15%E -3.20%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -11.92%E -3.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 09:00
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 46.91%EV -6.15%E -3.20%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%EV -11.92%E -3.36%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 08:59
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -3.96%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 14:45
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -3.96%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 02:14
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -6.60%E -1.86%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 07:30
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.72%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-20 21:49
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.72%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 09:35
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 07:30
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -6.64%E -3.48%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 09:15
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -5.72%E -1.51%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 09:14
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-20 14:49
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 48.44%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.23%E -2.67%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.20%E -2.22%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 16:55
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.13%E -3.75%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -10.54%E -3.10%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.96%E -1.86%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 21:49
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.32%EV -7.62%E -4.03%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.28%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.79%EV -6.71%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 09:00
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.89%EV -8.11%E -4.31%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.55%EV -15.80%E -4.94%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -14.41%E -4.18%K -5.88%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-23 09:00
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 49.13%EV -9.57%E -5.18%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-24 03:08
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.57%E -5.18%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 08:20
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.57%E -5.18%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 08:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.57%E -5.18%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 08:20
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -9.57%E -5.18%K -11.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -7.91%E -2.26%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.68%E -2.97%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 08:20
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.30%EV -10.06%E -5.47%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.35%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.35%EV -9.44%E -2.59%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-22 14:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.62%EV -10.55%E -5.77%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.85%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -23.09%E -7.45%K -10.99%G +0.000%17.2%2026-04-23 11:14
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.41%EV -11.53%E -6.37%K -14.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -13.17%E -3.99%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.04%EV -13.17%E -3.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-22 14:39
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 48.63%EV -13.00%E -7.30%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.64%EV -14.49%E -4.46%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.73%EV -13.17%E -3.76%K -5.27%G +0.000%15.5%2026-04-23 06:39
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 47.84%EV -13.00%E -7.30%K -16.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.47%EV -18.44%E -5.95%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.68%EV -14.41%E -4.18%K -5.88%G +0.000%17.4%2026-04-22 14:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.14%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%4.8%2026-04-23 14:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.14%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%4.8%2026-04-23 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.96%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%5.3%2026-04-23 22:05
Smarkets1.90I 52.63%NM 49.63%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.19%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%6.1%2026-04-23 22:30
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 48.62%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.15%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%7.1%2026-04-24 00:39
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%10.7%2026-04-23 09:14