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Macarthur FC v Western Sydney Wanderers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Macarthur FC (Local)
Prediction 38.44%2.60fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.778%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.44%38.46%38.48%40.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.272.432.452.5544.05%41.19%40.90%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Western Sydney Wanderers (Visit)
Prediction 35.81%2.79fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.71
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.20%35.83%35.84%36.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.422.602.602.7141.32%38.42%38.46%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.75%3.88fair odd
EV -0.848%
Edge -0.220%
Kelly -0.297%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.91%25.70%25.68%26.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.593.603.8529.85%27.86%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Macarthur FC (Local): 38.44%; Western Sydney Wanderers (Visit): 35.81%; Draw: 25.75%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.85, with an expected value of -0.848%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.48%EV -1.98%E -0.778%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.34%EV -5.82%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.18%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 07:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.16%EV -2.75%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.41%EV -2.14%E -0.562%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-28 08:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.16%EV -2.75%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.41%EV -2.14%E -0.562%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-02-28 08:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.21%EV -3.52%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.91%EV -0.848%E -0.220%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 08:23 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 07:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 07:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.76%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.17%EV -0.848%E -0.220%K -0.297%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-28 08:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.70%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -8.57%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 07:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.44%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.57%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 07:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.44%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.57%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 07:54 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.44%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.57%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 07:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.44%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.57%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 07:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.44%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.57%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 07:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.44%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.57%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 07:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.44%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.57%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 07:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.19%EV -5.06%E -2.05%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.60%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 03:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.44%E -2.21%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.60%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.06%EV -6.77%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 08:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.66%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.74%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.71%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 08:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 07:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 07:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 02:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 02:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 03:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 00:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.49%EV -6.21%E -2.55%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -4.71%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 08:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.38%EV -6.60%E -2.71%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.01%EV -7.26%E -2.80%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -6.26%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 08:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.98%E -2.88%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -7.61%E -2.95%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -4.71%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 08:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.98%E -2.88%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -7.61%E -2.95%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -4.71%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-28 08:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -4.71%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 03:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 08:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 07:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 08:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 07:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 07:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -11.20%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -11.15%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-28 07:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -11.20%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -11.15%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-28 07:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.30%EV -8.13%E -3.40%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.31%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.71%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 08:27 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -8.52%E -3.58%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -6.18%E -2.36%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 08:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -8.52%E -3.58%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -6.18%E -2.36%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 08:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -8.52%E -3.58%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -6.18%E -2.36%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 08:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -8.52%E -3.58%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -6.18%E -2.36%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 08:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.73%EV -8.90%E -3.76%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -6.18%E -2.36%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 00:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -9.67%E -4.12%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.25%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-28 03:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 08:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-28 08:14 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.44%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-02-28 08:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.38%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.03%EV -12.27%E -5.01%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.59%EV -11.15%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-02-28 03:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.23%EV -12.75%E -5.62%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 35.86%EV -13.34%E -5.51%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.91%EV -13.72%E -4.10%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-02-28 08:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.80% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.73% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 08:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 08:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 08:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.85% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.73% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43% | 2.2% | 2026-02-28 08:29 |