L’École des cotes

Macarthur FC v Western Sydney Wanderers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 08:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Macarthur FC (Local)

Prévision 38.44%2.60cote équitable
EV -1.98%
Avantage -0.778%
Kelly -1.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.44%38.46%38.48%40.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.272.432.452.5544.05%41.19%40.90%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Western Sydney Wanderers (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.81%2.79cote équitable
EV -2.96%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -1.73%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.20%35.83%35.84%36.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.422.602.602.7141.32%38.42%38.46%36.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.75%3.88cote équitable
EV -0.848%
Avantage -0.220%
Kelly -0.297%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.91%25.70%25.68%26.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.593.603.8529.85%27.86%27.78%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.48%EV -1.98%E -0.778%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.34%EV -5.82%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.18%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 07:54
BetOnline.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.16%EV -2.75%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.41%EV -2.14%E -0.562%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 08:14
LowVig.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.16%EV -2.75%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.41%EV -2.14%E -0.562%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 08:14
Coolbet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.21%EV -3.52%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.91%EV -0.848%E -0.220%K -0.297%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 08:23
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 07:54
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 07:54
Pinnacle2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.76%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.17%EV -0.848%E -0.220%K -0.297%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 08:29
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.70%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -8.57%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 07:54
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.44%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.57%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 07:54
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.44%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.57%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 07:54
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.44%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.57%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 07:54
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.44%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.57%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 07:54
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.44%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.57%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 07:54
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.44%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.57%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 07:54
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.44%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.57%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 07:54
Codere (IT)2.47I 40.49%NM 38.19%EV -5.06%E -2.05%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.60%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 03:49
GTbets2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.44%E -2.21%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.60%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.06%EV -6.77%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 08:29
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.66%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.74%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.71%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 08:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 07:19
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 07:19
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 02:29
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 02:39
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 03:49
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 00:19
BetUS2.44I 40.98%NM 38.49%EV -6.21%E -2.55%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -4.71%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 08:29
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.38%EV -6.60%E -2.71%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.01%EV -7.26%E -2.80%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -6.26%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 08:14
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.98%E -2.88%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -7.61%E -2.95%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -4.71%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 08:29
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.98%E -2.88%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -7.61%E -2.95%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -4.71%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 08:30
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -4.71%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 03:24
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 08:29
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 07:19
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 08:14
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 07:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 07:19
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -11.20%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -11.15%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 07:54
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -11.20%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -11.15%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 07:54
Bovada2.39I 41.84%NM 39.30%EV -8.13%E -3.40%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.31%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.71%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 08:27
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -8.52%E -3.58%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -6.18%E -2.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 08:29
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -8.52%E -3.58%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -6.18%E -2.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 08:29
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -8.52%E -3.58%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -6.18%E -2.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 08:29
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -8.52%E -3.58%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -6.18%E -2.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 08:29
Betr (AU)2.37I 42.19%NM 38.73%EV -8.90%E -3.76%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -6.18%E -2.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 00:15
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -9.67%E -4.12%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.25%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 03:49
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 08:14
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 08:14
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.44%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-28 08:14
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.38%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.03%EV -12.27%E -5.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.59%EV -11.15%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-28 03:49
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 38.23%EV -12.75%E -5.62%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 35.86%EV -13.34%E -5.51%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.91%EV -13.72%E -4.10%K -5.84%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-28 08:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.80%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.73%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-02-28 08:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-02-28 08:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-02-28 08:24
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.85%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%2.2%2026-02-28 08:29