A Escola das Odds

Macarthur FC v Western Sydney Wanderers

Início: 2026-02-28 08:35 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Macarthur FC (Local)

Previsão 38.44%2.60odd justa
EV -1.98%
Vantagem -0.778%
Kelly -1.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.44%38.46%38.48%40.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.272.432.452.5544.05%41.19%40.90%39.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Western Sydney Wanderers (Visitante)

Previsão 35.81%2.79odd justa
EV -2.96%
Vantagem -1.09%
Kelly -1.73%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.71

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.20%35.83%35.84%36.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.422.602.602.7141.32%38.42%38.46%36.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 25.75%3.88odd justa
EV -0.848%
Vantagem -0.220%
Kelly -0.297%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.91%25.70%25.68%26.49%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.353.593.603.8529.85%27.86%27.78%25.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.48%EV -1.98%E -0.778%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.34%EV -5.82%E -2.21%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.18%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 07:54
BetOnline.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.16%EV -2.75%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.41%EV -2.14%E -0.562%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 08:14
LowVig.ag2.53I 39.53%NM 38.16%EV -2.75%E -1.09%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.41%EV -2.14%E -0.562%K -0.763%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-28 08:14
Coolbet2.51I 39.84%NM 38.21%EV -3.52%E -1.40%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.88%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.91%EV -0.848%E -0.220%K -0.297%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 08:23
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 07:54
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -3.91%E -1.56%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 07:54
Pinnacle2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.76%EV -2.96%E -1.09%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.17%EV -0.848%E -0.220%K -0.297%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 08:29
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.70%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -8.57%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 07:54
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.44%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.57%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 07:54
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.44%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.57%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 07:54
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.44%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.57%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 07:54
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.44%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.57%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 07:54
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.44%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.57%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 07:54
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.44%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.57%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 07:54
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.44%EV -4.67%E -1.88%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -8.69%E -3.41%K -5.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.15%EV -8.57%E -2.42%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 07:54
Codere (IT)2.47I 40.49%NM 38.19%EV -5.06%E -2.05%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.60%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 03:49
GTbets2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.44%E -2.21%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.60%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.06%EV -6.77%E -1.87%K -2.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 08:29
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.66%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.74%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.71%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 08:14
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 07:19
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 07:19
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 02:29
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.49%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 02:39
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 03:49
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -5.83%E -2.38%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 00:19
BetUS2.44I 40.98%NM 38.49%EV -6.21%E -2.55%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -4.71%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 08:29
Marathon Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.38%EV -6.60%E -2.71%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.01%EV -7.26%E -2.80%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -6.26%E -1.72%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 08:14
NordicBet2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.98%E -2.88%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -7.61%E -2.95%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -4.71%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 08:29
Betsson2.42I 41.32%NM 38.58%EV -6.98%E -2.88%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.19%EV -7.61%E -2.95%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.23%EV -4.71%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 08:30
SportsBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -4.71%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 03:24
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 08:29
BetMGM2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 07:19
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.00%E -1.64%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 08:14
Neds2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 07:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -5.11%E -1.93%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 07:19
LiveScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -11.20%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -11.15%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 07:54
Virgin Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -7.75%E -3.23%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.33%EV -11.20%E -4.51%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -11.15%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 07:54
Bovada2.39I 41.84%NM 39.30%EV -8.13%E -3.40%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.31%EV -4.75%E -1.79%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -4.71%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 08:27
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -8.52%E -3.58%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -6.18%E -2.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 08:29
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -8.52%E -3.58%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -6.18%E -2.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 08:29
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -8.52%E -3.58%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -6.18%E -2.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 08:29
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -8.52%E -3.58%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -6.18%E -2.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 08:29
Betr (AU)2.37I 42.19%NM 38.73%EV -8.90%E -3.76%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -6.18%E -2.36%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 00:15
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -9.67%E -4.12%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.25%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 03:49
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -3.32%E -1.23%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -7.29%E -2.02%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 08:14
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -6.90%E -2.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.86%E -2.82%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-28 08:14
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.43%EV -10.48%E -4.19%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.05%EV -12.44%E -3.66%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-28 08:14
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.38%EV -11.59%E -5.04%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.03%EV -12.27%E -5.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.59%EV -11.15%E -3.23%K -4.55%G +0.000%13.3%2026-02-28 03:49
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 38.23%EV -12.75%E -5.62%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 35.86%EV -13.34%E -5.51%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.91%EV -13.72%E -4.10%K -5.84%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-28 08:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.80%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.73%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%0.7%2026-02-28 08:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-02-28 08:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.46%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.46%0.7%2026-02-28 08:24
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.85%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.73%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.43%2.2%2026-02-28 08:29