Language:English
Macarthur FC v Central Coast Mariners
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Macarthur FC (Local)
Prediction 59.25%1.69fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -4.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.93%59.22%59.28%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.571.571.6468.97%63.60%63.69%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Central Coast Mariners (Visit)
Prediction 19.05%5.25fair odd
EV +0.222%
Edge +0.042%
Kelly +0.052%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.15%19.13%18.89%20.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.915.005.2623.26%20.36%20.00%19.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.70%4.61fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.279%
Kelly -0.358%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.98%21.64%21.83%23.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.254.254.5525.00%23.51%23.53%21.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Macarthur FC (Local): 59.25%; Central Coast Mariners (Visit): 19.05%; Draw: 21.70%. For Central Coast Mariners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.25. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.26, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.222%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.25%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.33%EV +0.222%E +0.042%K +0.052%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.42%EV -2.36%E -0.524%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.38%EV -4.61%E -2.86%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.39%EV -0.922%E -0.177%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%EV -6.70%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.32%EV -4.02%E -2.48%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.84%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.84%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -6.39%E -4.04%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.47%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.47%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.17%EV -8.17%E -5.27%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.82%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.60%EV -3.78%E -0.748%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -5.61%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 07:51 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.82%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.60%EV -3.78%E -0.748%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -5.61%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.52%EV -4.02%E -2.48%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.29%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.19%EV -1.27%E -0.279%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 06:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.52%EV -4.02%E -2.48%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.29%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.19%EV -1.27%E -0.279%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 06:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -2.36%E -0.524%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 07:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -5.80%E -3.65%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -6.70%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 07:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -5.80%E -3.65%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -6.70%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 07:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 07:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.25%EV -6.39%E -4.04%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -7.78%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 07:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -8.17%E -5.27%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 07:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 07:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -13.21%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 07:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.14%EV -6.39%E -4.04%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.88%EV -5.68%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.78%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 07:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.14%EV -6.39%E -4.04%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.88%EV -5.68%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.78%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 07:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.80%E -3.65%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.15%EV -6.64%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.70%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 04:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.18%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -6.64%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.78%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.16%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.35%EV -6.64%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.21%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-04 07:51 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.16%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.35%EV -6.64%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.21%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-04 07:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.80%E -3.65%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.41%EV -7.40%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.25%EV -3.66%E -0.824%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -4.61%E -2.86%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -8.54%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 07:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -4.61%E -2.86%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -8.54%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 07:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.79%EV -6.39%E -4.04%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -8.54%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.78%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 04:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -4.61%E -2.86%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.50%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 07:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -9.50%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -7.78%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 07:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -2.83%E -1.73%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -2.83%E -1.73%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -8.76%E -5.69%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -6.70%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-04 04:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.78%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 59.60%EV -14.09%E -9.72%K -31.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.79%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.61%EV -13.21%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-04 07:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.32%EV -11.13%E -7.42%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.34%EV -18.07%E -4.20%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-04 04:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 07:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 07:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.47% | 1.3% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.73% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.89% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.39% | 1.6% | 2026-03-04 07:45 |