L’École des cotes

Macarthur FC v Central Coast Mariners

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-04 08:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Macarthur FC (Local)

Prévision 59.25%1.69cote équitable
EV -2.83%
Avantage -1.73%
Kelly -4.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.93%59.22%59.28%60.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.451.571.571.6468.97%63.60%63.69%60.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Central Coast Mariners (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.05%5.25cote équitable
EV +0.222%
Avantage +0.042%
Kelly +0.052%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.15%19.13%18.89%20.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.304.915.005.2623.26%20.36%20.00%19.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.70%4.61cote équitable
EV -1.27%
Avantage -0.279%
Kelly -0.358%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.98%21.64%21.83%23.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.254.254.5525.00%23.51%23.53%21.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 60.25%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.33%EV +0.222%E +0.042%K +0.052%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.42%EV -2.36%E -0.524%K -0.673%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 07:55
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.38%EV -4.61%E -2.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.39%EV -0.922%E -0.177%K -0.219%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%EV -6.70%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 07:55
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.32%EV -4.02%E -2.48%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.84%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.84%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 07:55
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -6.39%E -4.04%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 07:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.47%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 07:55
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 59.47%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 07:55
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.17%EV -8.17%E -5.27%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 07:45
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 07:55
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 07:55
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 07:55
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 07:55
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 07:55
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 07:55
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 07:55
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 59.82%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.60%EV -3.78%E -0.748%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -5.61%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 07:51
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 59.82%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.60%EV -3.78%E -0.748%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -5.61%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 07:55
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.52%EV -4.02%E -2.48%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.29%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.19%EV -1.27%E -0.279%K -0.358%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 06:20
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.52%EV -4.02%E -2.48%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.29%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.19%EV -1.27%E -0.279%K -0.358%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 06:20
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -2.36%E -0.524%K -0.673%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 07:40
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -5.80%E -3.65%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -6.70%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 07:15
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -5.80%E -3.65%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -6.70%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 07:15
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 07:45
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.25%EV -6.39%E -4.04%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -7.78%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 07:40
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -8.17%E -5.27%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 07:25
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 07:45
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -13.21%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 07:55
PMU (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 07:45
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.14%EV -6.39%E -4.04%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.88%EV -5.68%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.78%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 07:40
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.14%EV -6.39%E -4.04%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.88%EV -5.68%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.78%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 07:40
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.80%E -3.65%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.15%EV -6.64%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.70%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 04:15
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 59.18%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -6.64%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.78%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 07:55
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.16%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.35%EV -6.64%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.21%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-04 07:51
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.16%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.35%EV -6.64%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.21%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-04 07:50
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.80%E -3.65%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.41%EV -7.40%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.25%EV -3.66%E -0.824%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 07:55
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -4.61%E -2.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -8.54%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 07:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -4.61%E -2.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -8.54%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 07:15
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.79%EV -6.39%E -4.04%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -8.54%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.78%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 04:15
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -4.61%E -2.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.50%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 07:15
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -9.50%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -7.78%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 07:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -2.83%E -1.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 02:05
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -2.83%E -1.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 02:05
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 07:55
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 07:55
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 07:55
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 07:55
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -8.76%E -5.69%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -6.70%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-04 04:15
Parions Sport (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.78%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-04 07:55
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 59.60%EV -14.09%E -9.72%K -31.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.79%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.61%EV -13.21%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-04 07:54
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.32%EV -11.13%E -7.42%K -22.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.34%EV -18.07%E -4.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-04 04:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-03-04 07:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-03-04 07:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-03-04 07:45
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.47%1.3%2026-03-04 07:55
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.73%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.89%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.39%1.6%2026-03-04 07:45