A Escola das Odds

Macarthur FC v Central Coast Mariners

Início: 2026-03-04 08:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Macarthur FC (Local)

Previsão 59.25%1.69odd justa
EV -2.83%
Vantagem -1.73%
Kelly -4.43%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.93%59.22%59.28%60.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.451.571.571.6468.97%63.60%63.69%60.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Central Coast Mariners (Visitante)

Previsão 19.05%5.25odd justa
EV +0.222%
Vantagem +0.042%
Kelly +0.052%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.15%19.13%18.89%20.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.304.915.005.2623.26%20.36%20.00%19.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 21.70%4.61odd justa
EV -1.27%
Vantagem -0.279%
Kelly -0.358%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.98%21.64%21.83%23.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.254.254.5525.00%23.51%23.53%21.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.60I 62.50%NM 60.25%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.67%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.33%EV +0.222%E +0.042%K +0.052%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.42%EV -2.36%E -0.524%K -0.673%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 07:55
ATG (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.38%EV -4.61%E -2.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.39%EV -0.922%E -0.177%K -0.219%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%EV -6.70%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 07:55
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.32%EV -4.02%E -2.48%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.84%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.84%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-04 07:55
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -6.39%E -4.04%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 07:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.47%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 07:55
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69%NM 59.47%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 07:55
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.17%EV -8.17%E -5.27%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 07:45
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 07:55
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 07:55
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 07:55
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 07:55
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 07:55
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 07:55
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 07:55
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 59.82%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.60%EV -3.78%E -0.748%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -5.61%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 07:51
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 59.82%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.60%EV -3.78%E -0.748%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -5.61%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 07:55
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.52%EV -4.02%E -2.48%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.29%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.19%EV -1.27%E -0.279%K -0.358%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 06:20
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.52%EV -4.02%E -2.48%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.29%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.19%EV -1.27%E -0.279%K -0.358%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-04 06:20
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -2.36%E -0.524%K -0.673%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-04 07:40
PointsBet (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -5.80%E -3.65%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -6.70%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 07:15
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -5.80%E -3.65%K -9.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -6.70%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 07:15
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 07:45
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.25%EV -6.39%E -4.04%K -11.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -7.78%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 07:40
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -8.17%E -5.27%K -14.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 07:25
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 07:45
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -13.21%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 07:55
PMU (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 07:45
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.14%EV -6.39%E -4.04%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.88%EV -5.68%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.78%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 07:40
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.14%EV -6.39%E -4.04%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.88%EV -5.68%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.78%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 07:40
Codere (IT)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.80%E -3.65%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.15%EV -6.64%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.70%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 04:15
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 59.18%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -6.64%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.78%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 07:55
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.16%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.35%EV -6.64%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.21%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-04 07:51
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 59.16%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.35%EV -6.64%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.21%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-04 07:50
GTbets1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.80%E -3.65%K -9.82%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.41%EV -7.40%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.44I 22.52%NM 21.25%EV -3.66%E -0.824%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 07:55
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -4.61%E -2.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -8.54%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 07:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -4.61%E -2.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -8.54%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 07:15
Unibet (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 58.79%EV -6.39%E -4.04%K -11.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -8.54%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.78%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-04 04:15
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -4.61%E -2.86%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.50%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-04 07:15
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.67%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -9.50%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -7.78%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 07:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -2.83%E -1.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 02:05
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -2.83%E -1.73%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 02:05
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 07:55
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 07:55
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 07:55
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-04 07:55
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -8.76%E -5.69%K -16.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -6.70%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-04 04:15
Parions Sport (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 58.78%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.12%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-04 07:55
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 59.60%EV -14.09%E -9.72%K -31.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.79%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.61%EV -13.21%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-04 07:54
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.32%EV -11.13%E -7.42%K -22.26%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.34%EV -18.07%E -4.20%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-04 04:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-03-04 07:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-03-04 07:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54%0.9%2026-03-04 07:45
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.47%1.3%2026-03-04 07:55
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 60.73%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.89%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.39%1.6%2026-03-04 07:45