La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Macarthur FC v Central Coast Mariners
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Macarthur FC (Local)
Predicción 59.25%1.69momio equitativo
EV -2.83%
Ventaja -1.73%
Kelly -4.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.93%59.22%59.28%60.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.451.571.571.6468.97%63.60%63.69%60.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Central Coast Mariners (Visitante)
Predicción 19.05%5.25momio equitativo
EV +0.222%
Ventaja +0.042%
Kelly +0.052%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.26
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.15%19.13%18.89%20.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.304.915.005.2623.26%20.36%20.00%19.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.70%4.61momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -0.279%
Kelly -0.358%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.98%21.64%21.83%23.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.254.254.5525.00%23.51%23.53%21.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.25%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.33%EV +0.222%E +0.042%K +0.052%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.42%EV -2.36%E -0.524%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.38%EV -4.61%E -2.86%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.39%EV -0.922%E -0.177%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.23%EV -6.70%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.32%EV -4.02%E -2.48%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.84%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.84%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| Unibet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.31%EV -6.39%E -4.04%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.38%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.47%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.47%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.31%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.17%EV -8.17%E -5.27%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| Casumo | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| betPARX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.62%EV -7.57%E -4.85%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV -2.83%E -0.554%K -0.689%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.14%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.82%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.60%EV -3.78%E -0.748%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -5.61%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 07:51 |
| BetUS | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.82%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.60%EV -3.78%E -0.748%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%EV -5.61%E -1.29%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.52%EV -4.02%E -2.48%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.29%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.19%EV -1.27%E -0.279%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 06:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.52%EV -4.02%E -2.48%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.29%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.19%EV -1.27%E -0.279%K -0.358%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 06:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.14%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.98%EV -2.36%E -0.524%K -0.673%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 07:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -5.80%E -3.65%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -6.70%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 07:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -5.80%E -3.65%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -6.70%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 07:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 07:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.25%EV -6.39%E -4.04%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -7.78%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 07:40 |
| Everygame | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -8.17%E -5.27%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -4.53%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 07:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 07:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -13.21%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -4.73%E -0.946%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 07:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.14%EV -6.39%E -4.04%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.88%EV -5.68%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.78%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 07:40 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.14%EV -6.39%E -4.04%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.88%EV -5.68%E -1.15%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -7.78%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 07:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.80%E -3.65%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.15%EV -6.64%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.70%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 04:15 |
| Bet Right | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.18%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.96%EV -6.64%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.78%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.16%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.35%EV -6.64%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.21%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-04 07:51 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.16%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.35%EV -6.64%E -1.35%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.21%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-04 07:50 |
| GTbets | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -5.80%E -3.65%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.86I 20.58%NM 19.41%EV -7.40%E -1.52%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 4.44I 22.52%NM 21.25%EV -3.66%E -0.824%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -4.61%E -2.86%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -8.54%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 07:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -4.61%E -2.86%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -8.54%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 07:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.79%EV -6.39%E -4.04%K -11.01%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -8.54%E -1.78%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.78%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-04 04:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.06%EV -4.61%E -2.86%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -9.50%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -8.87%E -2.11%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 07:15 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -9.50%E -2.00%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -7.78%E -1.83%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 07:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -2.83%E -1.73%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| Neds | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.93%EV -2.83%E -1.73%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.30%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 02:05 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.69%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.28%EV -6.04%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -8.76%E -5.69%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.78%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.16%EV -6.70%E -1.56%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-04 04:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.78%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 59.60%EV -14.09%E -9.72%K -31.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.79%EV -12.35%E -2.69%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.61%EV -13.21%E -3.30%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-04 07:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.32%EV -11.13%E -7.42%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.34%EV -18.07%E -4.20%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.34%EV -11.04%E -2.69%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-04 04:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 07:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.77% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.54% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 07:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.58% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.95% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.47% | 1.3% | 2026-03-04 07:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.73% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.89% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.39% | 1.6% | 2026-03-04 07:45 |