Language:English
Auckland FC v Melbourne Victory
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Auckland FC (Local)
Prediction 39.75%2.52fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -1.06%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.61%40.32%39.84%47.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.332.372.4550.00%42.87%42.19%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Melbourne Victory (Visit)
Prediction 35.27%2.84fair odd
EV +18.14%
Edge +5.41%
Kelly +7.72%
Growth +1.40%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.47%34.76%35.26%36.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.702.703.3540.00%37.02%37.04%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.98%4.00fair odd
EV +2.42%
Edge +0.590%
Kelly +0.781%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.57%24.92%24.90%27.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.623.704.1032.26%27.62%27.03%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Auckland FC (Local): 39.75%; Melbourne Victory (Visit): 35.27%; Draw: 24.98%. For Melbourne Victory (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.84. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +18.14%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.69%EV -20.49%E -10.25%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%EV +18.14%E +5.41%K +7.72%G +1.40% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.078%E -0.019%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 15:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -20.49%E -10.25%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV +12.85%E +4.02%K +5.84%G +0.750% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.07%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 03:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.91%EV -2.60%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV +0.507%E +0.178%K +0.274%G +0.001% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -13.82%E -4.00%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.26%E -0.449%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.26%E -0.449%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.84%EV -3.40%E -1.40%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.70%EV -2.08%E -0.530%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -7.77%E -3.35%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.75%EV -4.43%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.65%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.15%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.74%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -6.18%E -2.62%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.92%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.71%EV -5.78%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.57%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.57%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.57%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.57%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.57%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.57%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.57%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.57%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.10%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.33%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV +2.42%E +0.590%K +0.781%G +0.019% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.10%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.33%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV +2.42%E +0.590%K +0.781%G +0.019% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -5.78%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.43%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.07%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 04:43 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -5.78%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.43%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.07%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.02%EV -7.37%E -3.16%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.05%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -6.57%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.69%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.07%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.69%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.07%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.69%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.07%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.35%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -8.57%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.07%E -2.80%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -8.57%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -18.81%E -5.79%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -8.57%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -18.81%E -5.79%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.05%EV -5.78%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.23%EV -7.60%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -0.078%E -0.019%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.42%EV -5.78%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.66%EV -7.60%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -7.60%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -7.60%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.57%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -5.07%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -10.55%E -4.69%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.55%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.31%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -11.32%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -10.55%E -4.69%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -20.06%E -6.27%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.55%EV -14.53%E -6.76%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.19%EV -10.07%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -13.82%E -4.00%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.00%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.20%EV -11.84%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -11.32%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.61%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.98%EV -11.84%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.40%EV -22.56%E -7.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.45% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27% | 0.5% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.50% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.50% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.50% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.52% | 2.0% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.37% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.89% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.73% | 2.4% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |