La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Auckland FC v Melbourne Victory
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Auckland FC (Local)
Predicción 39.75%2.52momio equitativo
EV -2.60%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -1.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.61%40.32%39.84%47.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.332.372.4550.00%42.87%42.19%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Melbourne Victory (Visitante)
Predicción 35.27%2.84momio equitativo
EV +18.14%
Ventaja +5.41%
Kelly +7.72%
Crecimiento +1.40%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.47%34.76%35.26%36.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.702.703.3540.00%37.02%37.04%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.98%4.00momio equitativo
EV +2.42%
Ventaja +0.590%
Kelly +0.781%
Crecimiento +0.019%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.57%24.92%24.90%27.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.623.704.1032.26%27.62%27.03%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.69%EV -20.49%E -10.25%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%EV +18.14%E +5.41%K +7.72%G +1.40% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.078%E -0.019%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-10 15:10 |
| TAB | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -20.49%E -10.25%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV +12.85%E +4.02%K +5.84%G +0.750% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.07%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-11 03:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.91%EV -2.60%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV +0.507%E +0.178%K +0.274%G +0.001% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -13.82%E -4.00%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| LeoVegas | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.26%E -0.449%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.26%E -0.449%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Unibet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Casumo | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| TABtouch | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| betPARX | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.84%EV -3.40%E -1.40%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.70%EV -2.08%E -0.530%K -0.711%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| GTbets | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -7.77%E -3.35%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.75%EV -4.43%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.65%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.15%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.74%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -6.18%E -2.62%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.92%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Everygame | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.71%EV -5.78%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| Neds | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.57%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.57%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.57%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.57%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.57%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.57%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.57%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.57%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.10%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.33%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV +2.42%E +0.590%K +0.781%G +0.019% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.10%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.33%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV +2.42%E +0.590%K +0.781%G +0.019% | 3.5% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Bovada | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -5.78%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.43%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.07%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 04:43 |
| BetUS | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -5.78%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.43%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.07%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.02%EV -7.37%E -3.16%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.05%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -6.57%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.69%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.07%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.69%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.07%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.69%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.07%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.35%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| Bet Right | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -8.57%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.07%E -2.80%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -8.57%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -18.81%E -5.79%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -8.57%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -18.81%E -5.79%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| SportsBet | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.05%EV -5.78%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.23%EV -7.60%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -0.078%E -0.019%K -0.026%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.42%EV -5.78%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.66%EV -7.60%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Betsson | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -7.60%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| NordicBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -7.60%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.57%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -5.07%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -10.55%E -4.69%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.55%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.31%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -11.32%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -10.55%E -4.69%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -20.06%E -6.27%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.55%EV -14.53%E -6.76%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.19%EV -10.07%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -13.82%E -4.00%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.00%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.20%EV -11.84%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -11.32%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-11 04:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.61%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.98%EV -11.84%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.40%EV -22.56%E -7.28%K -10.74%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.45% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27% | 0.5% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.50% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.50% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.50% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.80% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 1.2% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Kalshi | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.52% | 2.0% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.37% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.89% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.73% | 2.4% | 2026-04-11 04:45 |