La scuola delle quote

Auckland FC v Melbourne Victory

Inizio: 2026-04-11 05:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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50 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Auckland FC (Casa)

Previsione 39.75%2.52quota equa
EV -2.60%
Vantaggio -1.06%
Kelly -1.79%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
38.61%40.32%39.84%47.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.332.372.4550.00%42.87%42.19%40.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Melbourne Victory (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.27%2.84quota equa
EV +18.14%
Vantaggio +5.41%
Kelly +7.72%
Crescita +1.40%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.47%34.76%35.26%36.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.702.703.3540.00%37.02%37.04%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.98%4.00quota equa
EV +2.42%
Vantaggio +0.590%
Kelly +0.781%
Crescita +0.019%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.57%24.92%24.90%27.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.623.704.1032.26%27.62%27.03%24.39%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.69%EV -20.49%E -10.25%K -20.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%EV +18.14%E +5.41%K +7.72%G +1.40%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.078%E -0.019%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 15:10
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -20.49%E -10.25%K -20.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV +12.85%E +4.02%K +5.84%G +0.750%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.07%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 03:59
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.91%EV -2.60%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV +0.507%E +0.178%K +0.274%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -13.82%E -4.00%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 04:44
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.26%E -0.449%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 04:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.26%E -0.449%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 04:45
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 04:44
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 04:45
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 04:44
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 04:45
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 04:45
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 04:45
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 04:45
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 04:45
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 39.84%EV -3.40%E -1.40%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.70%EV -2.08%E -0.530%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 04:45
GTbets2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -7.77%E -3.35%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.75%EV -4.43%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.65%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 04:45
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.15%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 04:45
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.74%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 04:44
Codere (IT)2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -6.18%E -2.62%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.92%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 04:45
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 04:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.71%EV -5.78%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 04:44
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 04:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 04:44
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.57%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.57%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:45
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.57%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.57%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:45
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.57%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.57%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:45
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.57%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.57%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:44
LowVig.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.10%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.33%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV +2.42%E +0.590%K +0.781%G +0.019%3.5%2026-04-11 04:45
BetOnline.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.10%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.33%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV +2.42%E +0.590%K +0.781%G +0.019%3.5%2026-04-11 04:45
Bovada2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -5.78%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.43%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.07%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 04:43
BetUS2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -5.78%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.43%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.07%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 04:45
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.02%EV -7.37%E -3.16%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.05%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -6.57%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 04:45
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.69%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.07%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 04:45
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.69%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.07%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 04:45
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.69%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.07%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 04:45
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 04:45
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.35%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 04:44
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -8.57%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.07%E -2.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 04:45
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -8.57%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -18.81%E -5.79%K -8.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 04:44
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -8.57%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -18.81%E -5.79%K -8.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 04:44
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.05%EV -5.78%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.23%EV -7.60%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -0.078%E -0.019%K -0.026%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 04:45
Betr (AU)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.42%EV -5.78%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.66%EV -7.60%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 04:45
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -7.60%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 04:44
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -7.60%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 04:44
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.57%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -5.07%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 04:45
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -10.55%E -4.69%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 04:45
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.55%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.31%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -11.32%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 04:44
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -10.55%E -4.69%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -20.06%E -6.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-11 04:44
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.55%EV -14.53%E -6.76%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.19%EV -10.07%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -13.82%E -4.00%K -5.64%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-11 04:44
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.00%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.20%EV -11.84%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -11.32%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-11 04:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.61%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.98%EV -11.84%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.40%EV -22.56%E -7.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%17.7%2026-04-11 04:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.45%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27%0.5%2026-04-11 04:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.50%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-04-11 04:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.50%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-04-11 04:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.50%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-04-11 04:45
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.52%2.0%2026-04-11 04:45
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.37%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.73%2.4%2026-04-11 04:45