L’École des cotes

Auckland FC v Melbourne Victory

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 05:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Auckland FC (Local)

Prévision 39.75%2.52cote équitable
EV -2.60%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -1.79%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.61%40.32%39.84%47.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.332.372.4550.00%42.87%42.19%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Melbourne Victory (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.27%2.84cote équitable
EV +18.14%
Avantage +5.41%
Kelly +7.72%
Croissance +1.40%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.47%34.76%35.26%36.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.702.703.3540.00%37.02%37.04%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.98%4.00cote équitable
EV +2.42%
Avantage +0.590%
Kelly +0.781%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.57%24.92%24.90%27.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.623.704.1032.26%27.62%27.03%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.69%EV -20.49%E -10.25%K -20.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.47%EV +18.14%E +5.41%K +7.72%G +1.40%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.078%E -0.019%K -0.026%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-10 15:10
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -20.49%E -10.25%K -20.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV +12.85%E +4.02%K +5.84%G +0.750%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.07%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-11 03:59
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.91%EV -2.60%E -1.06%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.45%EV +0.507%E +0.178%K +0.274%G +0.001%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.63%EV -13.82%E -4.00%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 04:44
LeoVegas2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.26%E -0.449%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 04:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -1.26%E -0.449%K -0.698%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 04:45
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-11 04:44
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 04:45
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 04:44
TABtouch2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 04:45
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 04:45
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 04:45
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 04:45
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -3.02%E -1.10%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -15.07%E -4.43%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 04:45
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15%NM 39.84%EV -3.40%E -1.40%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.46%EV -3.73%E -1.36%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.70%EV -2.08%E -0.530%K -0.711%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 04:45
GTbets2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -7.77%E -3.35%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.75%EV -4.43%E -1.63%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.65%EV -4.57%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 04:45
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 39.54%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.15%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.31%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 04:45
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.74%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 04:44
Codere (IT)2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -6.18%E -2.62%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.92%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 04:45
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 04:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.71%EV -5.78%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-11 04:44
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 04:45
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.91%EV -6.58%E -2.80%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 04:44
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.57%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.57%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:45
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.57%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.57%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:45
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.57%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.57%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:45
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -8.57%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -4.78%E -1.77%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -12.57%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 04:44
LowVig.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.10%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.33%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV +2.42%E +0.590%K +0.781%G +0.019%3.5%2026-04-11 04:45
BetOnline.ag2.41I 41.49%NM 40.10%EV -4.19%E -1.74%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.33%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.57%EV +2.42%E +0.590%K +0.781%G +0.019%3.5%2026-04-11 04:45
Bovada2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -5.78%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.43%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.07%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 04:43
BetUS2.37I 42.19%NM 39.77%EV -5.78%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.43%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.80%EV -5.07%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-11 04:45
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.02%EV -7.37%E -3.16%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.05%EV -6.19%E -2.33%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -6.57%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 04:45
PointsBet (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.69%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.07%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 04:45
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.69%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.07%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 04:45
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.69%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.07%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-11 04:45
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -4.59%E -1.91%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 04:45
BetMGM2.38I 42.02%NM 39.35%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 04:44
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -8.57%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.07%E -2.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 04:45
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -8.57%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -18.81%E -5.79%K -8.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 04:44
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -8.57%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -6.55%E -2.47%K -3.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -18.81%E -5.79%K -8.36%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 04:44
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 40.05%EV -5.78%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.23%EV -7.60%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.73%EV -0.078%E -0.019%K -0.026%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 04:45
Betr (AU)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.42%EV -5.78%E -2.44%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.66%EV -7.60%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-11 04:45
Betsson2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -7.60%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 04:44
NordicBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.19%EV -5.39%E -2.26%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -7.60%E -2.90%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 04:44
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -8.57%E -3.72%K -6.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -5.07%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 04:45
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -10.55%E -4.69%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 04:45
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.55%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.31%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -11.32%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-11 04:44
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.93%EV -10.55%E -4.69%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -8.31%E -3.20%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -20.06%E -6.27%K -9.12%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-11 04:44
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.55%EV -14.53%E -6.76%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.19%EV -10.07%E -3.95%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -13.82%E -4.00%K -5.64%G +0.000%14.7%2026-04-11 04:44
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.00%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.20%EV -11.84%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -11.32%E -3.19%K -4.44%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-11 04:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.61%EV -12.54%E -5.70%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.98%EV -11.84%E -4.73%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.40%EV -22.56%E -7.28%K -10.74%G +0.000%17.7%2026-04-11 04:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.45%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27%0.5%2026-04-11 04:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.50%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-04-11 04:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.50%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-04-11 04:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.50%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-04-11 04:45
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.28%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.52%2.0%2026-04-11 04:45
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.37%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.73%2.4%2026-04-11 04:45