La scuola delle quote

Adelaide United v Wellington Phoenix FC

Inizio: 2026-03-06 08:35 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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49 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Adelaide United (Casa)

Previsione 56.12%1.78quota equa
EV -2.91%
Vantaggio -1.68%
Kelly -3.98%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.73

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.32%56.10%56.16%57.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.551.671.681.7364.52%59.94%59.52%57.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Wellington Phoenix FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 21.60%4.63quota equa
EV +1.53%
Vantaggio +0.326%
Kelly +0.414%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.48%21.59%21.55%22.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.904.304.254.7025.64%23.24%23.53%21.28%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.28%4.49quota equa
EV -3.10%
Vantaggio -0.713%
Kelly -0.926%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.66%22.30%22.29%24.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.504.134.204.3528.57%24.21%23.81%22.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.21%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.57%EV +1.53%E +0.326%K +0.414%G +0.006%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.22%EV -3.10%E -0.713%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 08:25
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.21%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.57%EV +1.53%E +0.326%K +0.414%G +0.006%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.22%EV -3.10%E -0.713%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 08:25
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.04%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.64%EV +0.882%E +0.189%K +0.240%G +0.002%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.32%EV -3.77%E -0.872%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 08:25
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.11%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.32%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.57%EV -5.33%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 08:25
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.69%EV -6.84%E -4.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 08:25
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 56.69%EV -6.84%E -4.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 08:25
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 56.69%EV -6.84%E -4.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 08:25
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 08:25
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 08:15
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 08:25
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -10.20%E -6.38%K -17.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 08:15
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 56.55%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.22%EV -3.87%E -0.870%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -5.33%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 08:25
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.11%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.18%EV -3.87%E -0.870%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.71%EV -7.56%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 08:15
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.11%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.18%EV -3.87%E -0.870%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.71%EV -7.56%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 08:15
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.98%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -4.95%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 08:15
Codere (IT)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.12%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.95%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 08:25
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -4.95%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 08:15
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.96%E -4.85%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -4.95%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -5.33%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 08:15
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.91%E -1.68%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -6.03%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -5.33%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 07:55
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -6.03%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 08:25
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -7.11%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -4.21%E -0.980%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 07:55
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -7.11%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -4.21%E -0.980%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 07:55
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -9.08%E -5.61%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -7.11%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -13.12%E -3.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-06 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.41%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.19%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 07:55
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 55.41%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.19%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 07:55
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.40%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -8.19%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 06:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 08:25
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 08:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 08:25
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 08:25
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 08:15
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 07:35
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 07:35
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 07:55
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 07:35
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 07:55
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 07:55
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 07:55
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-06 08:15
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-06 08:15
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-06 08:15
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-06 08:15
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.11%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 08:15
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -9.08%E -5.61%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 08:25
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -8.52%E -5.23%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-06 07:55
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -8.52%E -5.23%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-06 07:55
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.18%EV -13.01%E -8.39%K -23.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.77%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.05%EV -12.01%E -3.04%K -4.07%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-06 08:23
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.32%EV -11.89%E -7.57%K -20.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.32%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.36%EV -22.03%E -6.30%K -8.81%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-06 08:25
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.55%EV -11.33%E -7.17%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -15.75%E -4.04%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-06 08:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%0.6%2026-03-06 08:25
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%0.6%2026-03-06 08:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.88%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%1.0%2026-03-06 08:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.88%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%1.0%2026-03-06 08:15
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.87%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.75%2.2%2026-03-06 08:25