L’École des cotes

Adelaide United v Wellington Phoenix FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-06 08:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Adelaide United (Local)

Prévision 56.12%1.78cote équitable
EV -2.91%
Avantage -1.68%
Kelly -3.98%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.32%56.10%56.16%57.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.671.681.7364.52%59.94%59.52%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wellington Phoenix FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.60%4.63cote équitable
EV +1.53%
Avantage +0.326%
Kelly +0.414%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.48%21.59%21.55%22.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.904.304.254.7025.64%23.24%23.53%21.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.28%4.49cote équitable
EV -3.10%
Avantage -0.713%
Kelly -0.926%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.66%22.30%22.29%24.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.134.204.3528.57%24.21%23.81%22.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.21%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.57%EV +1.53%E +0.326%K +0.414%G +0.006%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.22%EV -3.10%E -0.713%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 08:25
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.21%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.57%EV +1.53%E +0.326%K +0.414%G +0.006%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.22%EV -3.10%E -0.713%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 08:25
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.04%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.64%EV +0.882%E +0.189%K +0.240%G +0.002%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.32%EV -3.77%E -0.872%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 08:25
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.11%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.32%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.57%EV -5.33%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 08:25
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.69%EV -6.84%E -4.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 08:25
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 56.69%EV -6.84%E -4.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 08:25
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 56.69%EV -6.84%E -4.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 08:25
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 08:25
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 08:15
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 08:25
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -10.20%E -6.38%K -17.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 08:15
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 56.55%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.22%EV -3.87%E -0.870%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -5.33%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 08:25
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.11%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.18%EV -3.87%E -0.870%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.71%EV -7.56%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 08:15
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.11%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.18%EV -3.87%E -0.870%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.71%EV -7.56%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 08:15
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.98%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -4.95%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 08:15
Codere (IT)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.12%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.95%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 08:25
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -4.95%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 08:15
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.96%E -4.85%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -4.95%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -5.33%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 08:15
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.91%E -1.68%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -6.03%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -5.33%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 07:55
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -6.03%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 08:25
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -7.11%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -4.21%E -0.980%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 07:55
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -7.11%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -4.21%E -0.980%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 07:55
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -9.08%E -5.61%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -7.11%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -13.12%E -3.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-06 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.41%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.19%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 07:55
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 55.41%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.19%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 07:55
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.40%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -8.19%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 06:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 08:25
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 08:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 08:25
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 08:25
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 08:15
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 07:35
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 07:35
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 07:55
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 07:35
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 07:55
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 07:55
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 07:55
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-06 08:15
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-06 08:15
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-06 08:15
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-06 08:15
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.11%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 08:15
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -9.08%E -5.61%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 08:25
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -8.52%E -5.23%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-06 07:55
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -8.52%E -5.23%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-06 07:55
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.18%EV -13.01%E -8.39%K -23.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.77%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.05%EV -12.01%E -3.04%K -4.07%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-06 08:23
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.32%EV -11.89%E -7.57%K -20.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.32%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.36%EV -22.03%E -6.30%K -8.81%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-06 08:25
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.55%EV -11.33%E -7.17%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -15.75%E -4.04%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-06 08:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%0.6%2026-03-06 08:25
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%0.6%2026-03-06 08:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.88%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%1.0%2026-03-06 08:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.88%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%1.0%2026-03-06 08:15
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.87%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.75%2.2%2026-03-06 08:25