مدرسة الاحتمالات

Adelaide United v Wellington Phoenix FC

البداية: 2026-03-06 08:35 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (14 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Adelaide United (المضيف)

التنبؤ 56.12%1.78السعر العادل
EV -2.91%
الأفضلية -1.68%
Kelly -3.98%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.73

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.32%56.10%56.16%57.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.551.671.681.7364.52%59.94%59.52%57.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Wellington Phoenix FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 21.60%4.63السعر العادل
EV +1.53%
الأفضلية +0.326%
Kelly +0.414%
النمو +0.006%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.48%21.59%21.55%22.72%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.904.304.254.7025.64%23.24%23.53%21.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.28%4.49السعر العادل
EV -3.10%
الأفضلية -0.713%
Kelly -0.926%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.66%22.30%22.29%24.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.504.134.204.3528.57%24.21%23.81%22.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.21%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.57%EV +1.53%E +0.326%K +0.414%G +0.006%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.22%EV -3.10%E -0.713%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 08:25
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.21%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.57%EV +1.53%E +0.326%K +0.414%G +0.006%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.22%EV -3.10%E -0.713%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 08:25
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.04%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.67I 21.41%NM 20.64%EV +0.882%E +0.189%K +0.240%G +0.002%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.32%EV -3.77%E -0.872%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 08:25
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.11%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.32%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.57%EV -5.33%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 08:25
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.69%EV -6.84%E -4.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 08:25
Bovada1.66I 60.24%NM 56.69%EV -6.84%E -4.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 08:25
BetUS1.66I 60.24%NM 56.69%EV -6.84%E -4.12%K -10.36%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 08:25
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 08:25
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 08:15
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 08:25
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -10.20%E -6.38%K -17.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 08:15
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 56.55%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.22%EV -3.87%E -0.870%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -5.33%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 08:25
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.11%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.18%EV -3.87%E -0.870%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.71%EV -7.56%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 08:15
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.11%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.18%EV -3.87%E -0.870%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.71%EV -7.56%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 08:15
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.98%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -4.95%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 08:15
Codere (IT)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.12%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.95%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 08:25
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -4.95%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 08:15
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.96%E -4.85%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -4.95%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -5.33%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 08:15
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.91%E -1.68%K -3.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -6.03%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -5.33%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 07:55
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -6.03%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 08:25
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -7.11%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -4.21%E -0.980%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 07:55
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -7.11%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -4.21%E -0.980%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 07:55
PMU (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -9.08%E -5.61%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -7.11%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -13.12%E -3.37%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-06 08:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.41%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.19%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 07:55
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 55.41%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.19%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 07:55
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.40%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -8.19%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 06:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 08:25
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 08:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 08:25
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 08:25
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 08:15
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 07:35
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 07:35
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 07:55
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 07:35
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 07:55
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 07:55
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 07:55
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-06 08:15
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-06 08:15
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-06 08:15
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-06 08:15
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.11%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 08:15
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -9.08%E -5.61%K -14.65%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 08:25
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -8.52%E -5.23%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-06 07:55
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -8.52%E -5.23%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-06 07:55
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.18%EV -13.01%E -8.39%K -23.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.77%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.05%EV -12.01%E -3.04%K -4.07%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-06 08:23
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.32%EV -11.89%E -7.57%K -20.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.32%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.36%EV -22.03%E -6.30%K -8.81%G +0.000%17.3%2026-03-06 08:25
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 55.55%EV -11.33%E -7.17%K -19.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -15.75%E -4.04%K -5.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-06 08:25
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%0.6%2026-03-06 08:25
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.12%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%0.6%2026-03-06 08:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.88%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%1.0%2026-03-06 08:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.88%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%1.0%2026-03-06 08:15
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.87%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.38%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.75%2.2%2026-03-06 08:25