La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Adelaide United v Wellington Phoenix FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Adelaide United (Local)
Predicción 56.12%1.78momio equitativo
EV -2.91%
Ventaja -1.68%
Kelly -3.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.32%56.10%56.16%57.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.671.681.7364.52%59.94%59.52%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Wellington Phoenix FC (Visitante)
Predicción 21.60%4.63momio equitativo
EV +1.53%
Ventaja +0.326%
Kelly +0.414%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.48%21.59%21.55%22.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.904.304.254.7025.64%23.24%23.53%21.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.28%4.49momio equitativo
EV -3.10%
Ventaja -0.713%
Kelly -0.926%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.66%22.30%22.29%24.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.134.204.3528.57%24.21%23.81%22.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.21%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.57%EV +1.53%E +0.326%K +0.414%G +0.006% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.22%EV -3.10%E -0.713%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-06 08:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.21%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.57%EV +1.53%E +0.326%K +0.414%G +0.006% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.22%EV -3.10%E -0.713%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-06 08:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.04%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.64%EV +0.882%E +0.189%K +0.240%G +0.002% | 4.32I 23.15%NM 22.32%EV -3.77%E -0.872%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-06 08:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.11%EV -4.03%E -2.36%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.32%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.57%EV -5.33%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 08:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.69%EV -6.84%E -4.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 08:25 |
| Bovada | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.69%EV -6.84%E -4.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 08:25 |
| BetUS | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.69%EV -6.84%E -4.12%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 08:25 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.83%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 08:25 |
| TAB | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.76%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 08:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -7.40%E -4.48%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 08:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -10.20%E -6.38%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -2.79%E -0.620%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 08:15 |
| GTbets | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.55%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.22%EV -3.87%E -0.870%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.22%EV -5.33%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 08:25 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.11%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.18%EV -3.87%E -0.870%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.71%EV -7.56%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 08:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.11%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.18%EV -3.87%E -0.870%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.71%EV -7.56%E -1.82%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 08:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.98%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -4.95%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 08:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.12%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.95%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 08:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.82%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.31%EV -4.95%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 08:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.86%EV -7.96%E -4.85%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -4.95%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -5.33%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 08:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -2.91%E -1.68%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -6.03%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.55%EV -5.33%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 07:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.13%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.55%EV -6.03%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 08:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -7.11%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -4.21%E -0.980%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 07:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -7.11%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -4.21%E -0.980%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 07:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -9.08%E -5.61%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.02%EV -7.11%E -1.65%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -13.12%E -3.37%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-06 08:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.41%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.19%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 07:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.41%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -8.19%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 07:55 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.40%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -8.19%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 06:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 08:25 |
| Neds | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 08:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 08:25 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 08:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -4.59%E -2.70%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 08:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 07:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 07:35 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 07:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 07:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 07:55 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 07:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.26%EV -5.72%E -3.40%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.67%E -2.11%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 07:55 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-06 08:15 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-06 08:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-06 08:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.09%EV -6.28%E -3.76%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.27%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-06 08:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.11%EV -5.15%E -3.05%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 08:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.15%EV -9.08%E -5.61%K -14.65%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -6.44%E -1.53%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-06 08:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -8.52%E -5.23%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-06 07:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -8.52%E -5.23%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.02%EV -11.43%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-06 07:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 56.18%EV -13.01%E -8.39%K -23.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.77%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.05%EV -12.01%E -3.04%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-06 08:23 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.32%EV -11.89%E -7.57%K -20.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.32%EV -13.59%E -3.40%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.36%EV -22.03%E -6.30%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-03-06 08:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 55.55%EV -11.33%E -7.17%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.51%EV -15.75%E -4.04%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -10.90%E -2.72%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-06 08:25 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.12% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 08:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.12% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.29% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59% | 0.6% | 2026-03-06 08:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.88% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 08:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.88% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.62% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 08:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.87% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.38% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.75% | 2.2% | 2026-03-06 08:25 |