La scuola delle quote

Adelaide United v Macarthur FC

Inizio: 2026-04-19 05:30 UTC

Finale: Adelaide United 3–1 Macarthur FC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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49 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Adelaide United (Casa)

Previsione 53.14%1.88quota equa
EV +2.02%
Vantaggio +1.05%
Kelly +2.20%
Crescita +0.044%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.92

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.56%53.20%53.08%56.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.561.721.751.9264.10%58.00%57.14%52.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Macarthur FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.97%4.00quota equa
EV +8.63%
Vantaggio +1.98%
Kelly +2.58%
Crescita +0.222%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.85%24.91%25.01%27.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.353.863.804.3529.85%25.88%26.32%22.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 21.89%4.57quota equa
EV -0.390%
Vantaggio -0.086%
Kelly -0.110%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.16%21.89%21.91%23.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.954.214.204.5525.32%23.78%23.81%21.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.84%EV -9.14%E -5.34%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.95%EV +8.63%E +1.98%K +2.58%G +0.222%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 05:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%EV -10.73%E -6.39%K -15.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV +6.13%E +1.44%K +1.89%G +0.116%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 04:55
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%EV -10.73%E -6.39%K -15.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV +6.13%E +1.44%K +1.89%G +0.116%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 04:55
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.85%EV -11.26%E -6.74%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV +6.13%E +1.44%K +1.89%G +0.116%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 04:55
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -11.80%E -7.11%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV +4.88%E +1.16%K +1.53%G +0.075%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 04:55
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -11.80%E -7.11%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV +4.88%E +1.16%K +1.53%G +0.075%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 04:55
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -11.80%E -7.11%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV +4.88%E +1.16%K +1.53%G +0.075%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 04:55
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -11.80%E -7.11%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV +4.88%E +1.16%K +1.53%G +0.075%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 04:55
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -11.80%E -7.11%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV +4.88%E +1.16%K +1.53%G +0.075%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 04:55
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -11.80%E -7.11%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV +4.88%E +1.16%K +1.53%G +0.075%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 05:05
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -11.80%E -7.11%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV +4.88%E +1.16%K +1.53%G +0.075%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 05:05
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.20%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56%EV +2.39%E +0.582%K +0.770%G +0.018%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.23%EV -0.390%E -0.086%K -0.110%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 04:55
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.20%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56%EV +2.39%E +0.582%K +0.770%G +0.018%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.23%EV -0.390%E -0.086%K -0.110%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 04:55
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -14.45%E -8.98%K -23.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV +2.39%E +0.582%K +0.770%G +0.018%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -10.24%E -2.50%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 04:55
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -14.45%E -8.98%K -23.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV +2.39%E +0.582%K +0.770%G +0.018%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -10.24%E -2.50%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 04:55
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -0.111%E -0.028%K -0.037%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 05:20
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.61%E -5.00%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -0.111%E -0.028%K -0.037%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 05:10
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.02%EV -17.11%E -10.97%K -30.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -0.111%E -0.028%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.13%EV -13.53%E -3.42%K -4.58%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-19 04:55
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.01%EV -4.89%E -2.73%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.41%EV -1.11%E -0.280%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.58%EV -1.92%E -0.429%K -0.553%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 05:15
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.47%EV -6.48%E -3.68%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -2.61%E -0.669%K -0.899%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 05:25
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.55%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.03%EV -3.86%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.42%EV -1.48%E -0.330%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-19 05:05
Bet Right1.69I 59.17%NM 54.02%EV -10.20%E -6.04%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -3.86%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -10.24%E -2.50%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 05:10
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -1.48%E -0.330%K -0.424%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 04:55
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.85%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 05:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -5.21%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 04:55
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -5.21%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 04:55
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 05:15
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 04:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 04:55
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 05:25
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 05:25
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.95%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 05:20
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.24%EV -7.54%E -4.34%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 04:55
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.67%E -5.69%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 05:10
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.99%EV -6.48%E -3.68%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -7.10%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 05:25
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 52.77%EV -5.42%E -3.04%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 05:24
BetUS1.78I 56.18%NM 52.77%EV -5.42%E -3.04%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 05:25
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 05:20
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.09%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -8.85%E -2.43%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -5.21%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 05:24
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 52.09%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.90%EV -9.60%E -2.65%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.01%EV -6.74%E -1.58%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 05:25
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.15%EV -10.73%E -6.39%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.05%EV -11.34%E -2.80%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 05:25
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.80%EV -8.61%E -5.00%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -11.35%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 05:25
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.60%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 05:25
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.60%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 05:25
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.60%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 05:25
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.60%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 05:25
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.19%EV -13.39%E -8.21%K -21.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.13%EV -13.85%E -4.01%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.68%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-19 05:24
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -10.73%E -6.39%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -15.09%E -4.44%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-19 05:25
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV +2.02%E +1.05%K +2.20%G +0.044%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -16.34%E -4.88%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -13.53%E -3.42%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 05:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-04-19 05:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-04-19 05:25
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-04-19 05:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.43%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-04-19 05:25
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62%1.9%2026-04-19 05:25
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%2.1%2026-04-19 05:25