مدرسة الاحتمالات

Adelaide United v Macarthur FC

البداية: 2026-04-19 05:30 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Adelaide United 3–1 Macarthur FC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (12 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Adelaide United (المضيف)

التنبؤ 53.14%1.88السعر العادل
EV +2.02%
الأفضلية +1.05%
Kelly +2.20%
النمو +0.044%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.92

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.56%53.20%53.08%56.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.561.721.751.9264.10%58.00%57.14%52.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Macarthur FC (الضيف)

التنبؤ 24.97%4.00السعر العادل
EV +8.63%
الأفضلية +1.98%
Kelly +2.58%
النمو +0.222%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.35

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.85%24.91%25.01%27.83%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.353.863.804.3529.85%25.88%26.32%22.99%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 21.89%4.57السعر العادل
EV -0.390%
الأفضلية -0.086%
Kelly -0.110%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.16%21.89%21.91%23.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.954.214.204.5525.32%23.78%23.81%21.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.84%EV -9.14%E -5.34%K -12.87%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.95%EV +8.63%E +1.98%K +2.58%G +0.222%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-19 05:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%EV -10.73%E -6.39%K -15.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV +6.13%E +1.44%K +1.89%G +0.116%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 04:55
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%EV -10.73%E -6.39%K -15.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV +6.13%E +1.44%K +1.89%G +0.116%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 04:55
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.85%EV -11.26%E -6.74%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV +6.13%E +1.44%K +1.89%G +0.116%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 04:55
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -11.80%E -7.11%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV +4.88%E +1.16%K +1.53%G +0.075%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 04:55
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -11.80%E -7.11%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV +4.88%E +1.16%K +1.53%G +0.075%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 04:55
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -11.80%E -7.11%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV +4.88%E +1.16%K +1.53%G +0.075%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 04:55
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -11.80%E -7.11%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV +4.88%E +1.16%K +1.53%G +0.075%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 04:55
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -11.80%E -7.11%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV +4.88%E +1.16%K +1.53%G +0.075%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 04:55
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -11.80%E -7.11%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV +4.88%E +1.16%K +1.53%G +0.075%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 05:05
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -11.80%E -7.11%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV +4.88%E +1.16%K +1.53%G +0.075%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 05:05
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.20%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56%EV +2.39%E +0.582%K +0.770%G +0.018%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.23%EV -0.390%E -0.086%K -0.110%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 04:55
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 55.20%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56%EV +2.39%E +0.582%K +0.770%G +0.018%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.23%EV -0.390%E -0.086%K -0.110%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-19 04:55
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -14.45%E -8.98%K -23.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV +2.39%E +0.582%K +0.770%G +0.018%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -10.24%E -2.50%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 04:55
Virgin Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -14.45%E -8.98%K -23.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV +2.39%E +0.582%K +0.770%G +0.018%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -10.24%E -2.50%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 04:55
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -0.111%E -0.028%K -0.037%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 05:20
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.61%E -5.00%K -11.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -0.111%E -0.028%K -0.037%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-19 05:10
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.02%EV -17.11%E -10.97%K -30.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -0.111%E -0.028%K -0.037%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.13%EV -13.53%E -3.42%K -4.58%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-19 04:55
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.01%EV -4.89%E -2.73%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.41%EV -1.11%E -0.280%K -0.375%G +0.000%4.48I 22.32%NM 21.58%EV -1.92%E -0.429%K -0.553%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 05:15
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.47%EV -6.48%E -3.68%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -2.61%E -0.669%K -0.899%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 05:25
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.55%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.03%EV -3.86%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.42%EV -1.48%E -0.330%K -0.424%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-19 05:05
Bet Right1.69I 59.17%NM 54.02%EV -10.20%E -6.04%K -14.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -3.86%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -10.24%E -2.50%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 05:10
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -1.48%E -0.330%K -0.424%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 04:55
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.85%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-19 05:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -5.21%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 04:55
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -5.21%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-19 04:55
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 05:15
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 04:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 04:55
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 05:25
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-19 05:25
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 52.95%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 05:20
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.24%EV -7.54%E -4.34%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 04:55
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.67%E -5.69%K -13.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 05:10
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.99%EV -6.48%E -3.68%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -7.10%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 05:25
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 52.77%EV -5.42%E -3.04%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 05:24
BetUS1.78I 56.18%NM 52.77%EV -5.42%E -3.04%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-19 05:25
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 05:20
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.09%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -8.85%E -2.43%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -5.21%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 05:24
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 52.09%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.90%EV -9.60%E -2.65%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.26I 23.47%NM 22.01%EV -6.74%E -1.58%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 05:25
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.15%EV -10.73%E -6.39%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.05%EV -11.34%E -2.80%K -3.72%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-19 05:25
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.80%EV -8.61%E -5.00%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -11.35%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 05:25
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.60%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 05:25
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.60%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 05:25
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.60%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 05:25
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.60%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-19 05:25
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.19%EV -13.39%E -8.21%K -21.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.13%EV -13.85%E -4.01%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.68%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-19 05:24
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -10.73%E -6.39%K -15.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -15.09%E -4.44%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-19 05:25
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV +2.02%E +1.05%K +2.20%G +0.044%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -16.34%E -4.88%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -13.53%E -3.42%K -4.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 05:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-04-19 05:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-04-19 05:25
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.29%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-04-19 05:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 53.43%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.2%2026-04-19 05:25
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62%1.9%2026-04-19 05:25
Smarkets1.84I 54.35%NM 53.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27%2.1%2026-04-19 05:25