L’École des cotesFrançais
Adelaide United v Macarthur FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Adelaide United (Local)
Prévision 53.14%1.88cote équitable
EV +2.02%
Avantage +1.05%
Kelly +2.20%
Croissance +0.044%
avec la cote maximale 1.92
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.56%53.20%53.08%56.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.721.751.9264.10%58.00%57.14%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Macarthur FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 24.97%4.00cote équitable
EV +8.63%
Avantage +1.98%
Kelly +2.58%
Croissance +0.222%
avec la cote maximale 4.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.85%24.91%25.01%27.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.863.804.3529.85%25.88%26.32%22.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 21.89%4.57cote équitable
EV -0.390%
Avantage -0.086%
Kelly -0.110%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.55
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.16%21.89%21.91%23.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.954.214.204.5525.32%23.78%23.81%21.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.84%EV -9.14%E -5.34%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.95%EV +8.63%E +1.98%K +2.58%G +0.222% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 05:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%EV -10.73%E -6.39%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV +6.13%E +1.44%K +1.89%G +0.116% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%EV -10.73%E -6.39%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV +6.13%E +1.44%K +1.89%G +0.116% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| Unibet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.85%EV -11.26%E -6.74%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV +6.13%E +1.44%K +1.89%G +0.116% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| Casumo | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -11.80%E -7.11%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV +4.88%E +1.16%K +1.53%G +0.075% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -11.80%E -7.11%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV +4.88%E +1.16%K +1.53%G +0.075% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -11.80%E -7.11%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV +4.88%E +1.16%K +1.53%G +0.075% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -11.80%E -7.11%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV +4.88%E +1.16%K +1.53%G +0.075% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -11.80%E -7.11%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV +4.88%E +1.16%K +1.53%G +0.075% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| betPARX | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -11.80%E -7.11%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV +4.88%E +1.16%K +1.53%G +0.075% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 05:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -11.80%E -7.11%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV +4.88%E +1.16%K +1.53%G +0.075% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 05:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.20%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56%EV +2.39%E +0.582%K +0.770%G +0.018% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.23%EV -0.390%E -0.086%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.20%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56%EV +2.39%E +0.582%K +0.770%G +0.018% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.23%EV -0.390%E -0.086%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -14.45%E -8.98%K -23.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV +2.39%E +0.582%K +0.770%G +0.018% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -10.24%E -2.50%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -14.45%E -8.98%K -23.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV +2.39%E +0.582%K +0.770%G +0.018% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -10.24%E -2.50%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -0.111%E -0.028%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 05:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.61%E -5.00%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -0.111%E -0.028%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 05:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.02%EV -17.11%E -10.97%K -30.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -0.111%E -0.028%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.13%EV -13.53%E -3.42%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.01%EV -4.89%E -2.73%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.41%EV -1.11%E -0.280%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.58%EV -1.92%E -0.429%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-19 05:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.47%EV -6.48%E -3.68%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -2.61%E -0.669%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.55%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.03%EV -3.86%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.42%EV -1.48%E -0.330%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-19 05:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.02%EV -10.20%E -6.04%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -3.86%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -10.24%E -2.50%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-19 05:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -1.48%E -0.330%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.85%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -5.21%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -5.21%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 05:15 |
| Neds | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.95%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 05:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.24%EV -7.54%E -4.34%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.67%E -5.69%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 05:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.99%EV -6.48%E -3.68%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -7.10%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| Bovada | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.77%EV -5.42%E -3.04%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 05:24 |
| BetUS | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.77%EV -5.42%E -3.04%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 05:20 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.09%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -8.85%E -2.43%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -5.21%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 05:24 |
| GTbets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.09%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.90%EV -9.60%E -2.65%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.01%EV -6.74%E -1.58%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.15%EV -10.73%E -6.39%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.05%EV -11.34%E -2.80%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.80%EV -8.61%E -5.00%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -11.35%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.60%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.60%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.60%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.60%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.19%EV -13.39%E -8.21%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.13%EV -13.85%E -4.01%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.68%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-19 05:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -10.73%E -6.39%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -15.09%E -4.44%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV +2.02%E +1.05%K +2.20%G +0.044% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -16.34%E -4.88%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -13.53%E -3.42%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 05:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 0.9% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 0.9% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 0.9% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.43% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.2% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.84% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62% | 1.9% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.24% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27% | 2.1% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |