La escuela de los momiosAdelaide United v Macarthur FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Adelaide United (Local)
Predicción 53.14%1.88momio equitativo
EV +2.02%
Ventaja +1.05%
Kelly +2.20%
Crecimiento +0.044%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.56%53.20%53.08%56.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.721.751.9264.10%58.00%57.14%52.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Macarthur FC (Visitante)
Predicción 24.97%4.00momio equitativo
EV +8.63%
Ventaja +1.98%
Kelly +2.58%
Crecimiento +0.222%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.85%24.91%25.01%27.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.863.804.3529.85%25.88%26.32%22.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 21.89%4.57momio equitativo
EV -0.390%
Ventaja -0.086%
Kelly -0.110%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.16%21.89%21.91%23.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.954.214.204.5525.32%23.78%23.81%21.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.84%EV -9.14%E -5.34%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.95%EV +8.63%E +1.98%K +2.58%G +0.222% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.21%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-19 05:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%EV -10.73%E -6.39%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV +6.13%E +1.44%K +1.89%G +0.116% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%EV -10.73%E -6.39%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV +6.13%E +1.44%K +1.89%G +0.116% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| Unibet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.85%EV -11.26%E -6.74%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.95%EV +6.13%E +1.44%K +1.89%G +0.116% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| Casumo | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -11.80%E -7.11%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV +4.88%E +1.16%K +1.53%G +0.075% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -11.80%E -7.11%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV +4.88%E +1.16%K +1.53%G +0.075% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -11.80%E -7.11%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV +4.88%E +1.16%K +1.53%G +0.075% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -11.80%E -7.11%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV +4.88%E +1.16%K +1.53%G +0.075% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -11.80%E -7.11%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV +4.88%E +1.16%K +1.53%G +0.075% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| betPARX | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -11.80%E -7.11%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV +4.88%E +1.16%K +1.53%G +0.075% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 05:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -11.80%E -7.11%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV +4.88%E +1.16%K +1.53%G +0.075% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 05:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.20%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56%EV +2.39%E +0.582%K +0.770%G +0.018% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.23%EV -0.390%E -0.086%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.20%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.56%EV +2.39%E +0.582%K +0.770%G +0.018% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.23%EV -0.390%E -0.086%K -0.110%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -14.45%E -8.98%K -23.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV +2.39%E +0.582%K +0.770%G +0.018% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -10.24%E -2.50%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.01%EV -14.45%E -8.98%K -23.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV +2.39%E +0.582%K +0.770%G +0.018% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.99%EV -10.24%E -2.50%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -0.111%E -0.028%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 05:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -8.61%E -5.00%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -0.111%E -0.028%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-19 05:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.02%EV -17.11%E -10.97%K -30.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.85%EV -0.111%E -0.028%K -0.037%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.13%EV -13.53%E -3.42%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.01%EV -4.89%E -2.73%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.41%EV -1.11%E -0.280%K -0.375%G +0.000% | 4.48I 22.32%NM 21.58%EV -1.92%E -0.429%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-19 05:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.47%EV -6.48%E -3.68%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.13%EV -2.61%E -0.669%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.55%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.03%EV -3.86%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.42%EV -1.48%E -0.330%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-19 05:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.02%EV -10.20%E -6.04%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -3.86%E -1.00%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.27%EV -10.24%E -2.50%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-19 05:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.79%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -1.48%E -0.330%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| Fanatics | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.85%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.12%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -5.21%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.67%EV -5.21%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 05:15 |
| Neds | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.69%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -5.11%E -1.34%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.95%EV -5.95%E -3.36%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.05%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 05:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.24%EV -7.54%E -4.34%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-19 04:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.67%E -5.69%K -13.81%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -6.35%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-19 05:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.99%EV -6.48%E -3.68%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -7.10%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| Bovada | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.77%EV -5.42%E -3.04%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 05:24 |
| BetUS | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.77%EV -5.42%E -3.04%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.84%EV -5.86%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -7.60%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -6.96%E -1.64%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-19 05:20 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.09%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -8.85%E -2.43%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.46%EV -5.21%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-19 05:24 |
| GTbets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.09%EV -4.36%E -2.42%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.90%EV -9.60%E -2.65%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.01%EV -6.74%E -1.58%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.15%EV -10.73%E -6.39%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -10.10%E -2.81%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.05%EV -11.34%E -2.80%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.80%EV -8.61%E -5.00%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -11.35%E -3.20%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.62%EV -8.05%E -1.92%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.60%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.60%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.60%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -7.01%E -4.01%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -12.60%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.19%EV -13.39%E -8.21%K -21.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.13%EV -13.85%E -4.01%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.68%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-04-19 05:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -10.73%E -6.39%K -15.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.81%EV -15.09%E -4.44%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.94%EV -12.43%E -3.11%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV +2.02%E +1.05%K +2.20%G +0.044% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -16.34%E -4.88%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -13.53%E -3.42%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-19 05:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 0.9% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 0.9% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.29% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 0.9% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.43% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.2% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.84% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.54% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62% | 1.9% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.24% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.27% | 2.1% | 2026-04-19 05:25 |