Language:English
Adelaide United v Auckland FC
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Adelaide United (Local)
Prediction 37.23%2.69fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.70%37.11%37.19%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.482.502.6142.92%40.29%40.08%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Auckland FC (Visit)
Prediction 36.96%2.71fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.95%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.94%37.05%37.01%38.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.502.502.6243.48%40.07%40.00%38.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.80%3.88fair odd
EV -0.661%
Edge -0.172%
Kelly -0.232%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.50%25.83%25.79%27.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.643.653.8532.26%27.50%27.40%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Adelaide United (Local): 37.23%; Auckland FC (Visit): 36.96%; Draw: 25.80%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.85, with an expected value of -0.661%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.38%EV -2.82%E -1.08%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.44%EV -8.70%E -3.52%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.18%EV -2.73%E -0.723%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 05:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.59%EV -2.47%E -0.653%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-03 08:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.59%EV -2.47%E -0.653%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-03 08:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.97%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.40%EV -5.00%E -1.95%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-03 08:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.07%EV -8.70%E -3.52%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 05:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.44%E -3.85%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 05:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.52%EV -3.94%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.94%EV -3.15%E -1.20%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.54%EV -2.21%E -0.583%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 08:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.56%EV -5.05%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.56%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.88%EV -0.661%E -0.172%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.33%EV -6.17%E -2.45%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.89%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 08:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-03 08:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 08:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 06:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 06:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 06:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.95%E -0.513%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.95%E -0.513%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.52%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.78%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 08:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-03 08:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.38%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.70%EV -13.13%E -5.59%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 05:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -14.98%E -6.51%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-03 08:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.48%EV -7.29%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.89%EV -6.48%E -2.56%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -6.08%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 08:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -7.66%E -3.09%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.40%EV -4.63%E -1.80%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 08:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.70%EV -7.66%E -3.09%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.70%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -1.95%E -0.513%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.60%EV -7.66%E -3.09%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -4.63%E -1.80%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.40%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 08:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.60%EV -7.66%E -3.09%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -4.63%E -1.80%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.40%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 08:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 07:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 08:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -9.44%E -3.85%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 07:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-03 08:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-03 08:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-03 08:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-03 08:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.64%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -14.98%E -6.51%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-03 05:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -11.38%E -4.78%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.29%E -4.70%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-03 07:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -11.38%E -4.78%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.29%E -4.70%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.24%EV -11.38%E -4.78%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.94%EV -11.29%E -4.70%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -20.01%E -6.46%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-03 08:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -11.76%E -4.96%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 06:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.02%EV -12.50%E -5.32%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.02%EV -13.13%E -5.59%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -13.56%E -4.05%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.77%EV -13.25%E -5.68%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.45%EV -13.13%E -5.59%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -8.40%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-04-03 08:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-04-03 08:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.65% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 0.6% | 2026-04-03 08:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.65% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 0.6% | 2026-04-03 08:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.04% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.04% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.5% | 2026-04-03 08:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.27% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.27% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46% | 2.0% | 2026-04-03 08:15 |