La escuela de los momiosAdelaide United v Auckland FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Adelaide United (Local)
Predicción 37.23%2.69momio equitativo
EV -2.82%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -1.75%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.70%37.11%37.19%38.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.332.482.502.6142.92%40.29%40.08%38.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Auckland FC (Visitante)
Predicción 36.96%2.71momio equitativo
EV -3.15%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -1.95%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.94%37.05%37.01%38.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.502.502.6243.48%40.07%40.00%38.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.80%3.88momio equitativo
EV -0.661%
Ventaja -0.172%
Kelly -0.232%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.50%25.83%25.79%27.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.643.653.8532.26%27.50%27.40%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.38%EV -2.82%E -1.08%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.44%EV -8.70%E -3.52%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.77I 26.53%NM 25.18%EV -2.73%E -0.723%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-03 05:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.59%EV -2.47%E -0.653%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-03 08:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.59%EV -2.47%E -0.653%K -0.887%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-03 08:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.97%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.40%EV -5.00%E -1.95%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-03 08:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.07%EV -8.70%E -3.52%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 05:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.44%E -3.85%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 05:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.52%EV -3.94%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.94%EV -3.15%E -1.20%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.54%EV -2.21%E -0.583%K -0.792%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-03 08:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.56%EV -5.05%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.56%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.88%EV -0.661%E -0.172%K -0.232%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| Bovada | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.33%EV -6.17%E -2.45%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.89%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 08:19 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-03 08:25 |
| TAB | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 08:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 06:35 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 06:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 06:35 |
| LeoVegas | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.95%E -0.513%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.95%E -0.513%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.52%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.78%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 08:10 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| Everygame | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-03 08:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.38%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.70%EV -13.13%E -5.59%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 05:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -14.98%E -6.51%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-03 08:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.48%EV -7.29%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.89%EV -6.48%E -2.56%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -6.08%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 08:25 |
| BetUS | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -7.66%E -3.09%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.40%EV -4.63%E -1.80%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 08:29 |
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.70%EV -7.66%E -3.09%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.70%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -1.95%E -0.513%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| Betsson | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.60%EV -7.66%E -3.09%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -4.63%E -1.80%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.40%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 08:10 |
| NordicBet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.60%EV -7.66%E -3.09%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -4.63%E -1.80%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.40%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-03 08:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 07:35 |
| TABtouch | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| Casumo | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| betPARX | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 08:25 |
| Bet Right | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -9.44%E -3.85%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-03 07:45 |
| William Hill | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-03 08:00 |
| 888sport | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-03 08:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-03 08:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-03 08:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.64%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -14.98%E -6.51%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-03 05:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -11.38%E -4.78%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.29%E -4.70%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-03 07:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -11.38%E -4.78%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.29%E -4.70%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.24%EV -11.38%E -4.78%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.94%EV -11.29%E -4.70%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -20.01%E -6.46%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-03 08:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -11.76%E -4.96%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 06:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.02%EV -12.50%E -5.32%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.02%EV -13.13%E -5.59%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -13.56%E -4.05%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.77%EV -13.25%E -5.68%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.45%EV -13.13%E -5.59%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -8.40%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-03 07:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-04-03 08:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-04-03 08:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.65% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 0.6% | 2026-04-03 08:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.65% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.54% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81% | 0.6% | 2026-04-03 08:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.04% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.04% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.5% | 2026-04-03 08:30 |
| Kalshi | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.27% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.27% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46% | 2.0% | 2026-04-03 08:15 |