La scuola delle quote

Adelaide United v Auckland FC

Inizio: 2026-04-03 08:35 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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50 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Adelaide United (Casa)

Previsione 37.23%2.69quota equa
EV -2.82%
Vantaggio -1.08%
Kelly -1.75%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.61

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.70%37.11%37.19%38.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.332.482.502.6142.92%40.29%40.08%38.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Auckland FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.96%2.71quota equa
EV -3.15%
Vantaggio -1.20%
Kelly -1.95%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.94%37.05%37.01%38.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.502.502.6243.48%40.07%40.00%38.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 25.80%3.88quota equa
EV -0.661%
Vantaggio -0.172%
Kelly -0.232%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.50%25.83%25.79%27.82%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.643.653.8532.26%27.50%27.40%25.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
GTbets2.61I 38.31%NM 36.38%EV -2.82%E -1.08%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.44%EV -8.70%E -3.52%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.18%EV -2.73%E -0.723%K -0.984%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 05:10
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.59%EV -2.47%E -0.653%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-03 08:00
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.59%EV -2.47%E -0.653%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-03 08:00
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.97%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.40%EV -5.00%E -1.95%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 08:25
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.07%EV -8.70%E -3.52%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 05:15
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.44%E -3.85%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 05:10
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 37.52%EV -3.94%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.94%EV -3.15%E -1.20%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.54%EV -2.21%E -0.583%K -0.792%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-03 08:20
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.56%EV -5.05%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.56%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.88%EV -0.661%E -0.172%K -0.232%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 07:40
Bovada2.52I 39.68%NM 37.33%EV -6.17%E -2.45%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.89%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 08:19
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 08:25
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 08:10
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 06:35
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 06:40
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 06:35
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.95%E -0.513%K -0.697%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 07:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.95%E -0.513%K -0.697%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 07:40
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.52%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.78%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 08:10
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 07:40
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 08:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 07:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 07:40
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 07:40
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 07:40
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.38%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.70%EV -13.13%E -5.59%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 05:10
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -14.98%E -6.51%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-03 08:10
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.48%EV -7.29%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.89%EV -6.48%E -2.56%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -6.08%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 08:25
BetUS2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -7.66%E -3.09%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.40%EV -4.63%E -1.80%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 08:29
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.70%EV -7.66%E -3.09%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.70%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -1.95%E -0.513%K -0.697%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 07:40
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.60%EV -7.66%E -3.09%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -4.63%E -1.80%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.40%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 08:10
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.60%EV -7.66%E -3.09%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -4.63%E -1.80%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.40%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 08:00
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 07:35
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 07:40
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 07:40
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 07:40
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 07:40
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 07:40
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 07:40
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 08:25
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -9.44%E -3.85%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 07:45
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 08:00
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 08:00
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 08:00
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 08:00
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.64%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -14.98%E -6.51%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-03 05:10
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -11.38%E -4.78%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.29%E -4.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-03 07:35
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -11.38%E -4.78%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.29%E -4.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-03 07:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.24%EV -11.38%E -4.78%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.94%EV -11.29%E -4.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -20.01%E -6.46%K -9.53%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-03 08:25
Betr (AU)2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -11.76%E -4.96%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 06:50
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.02%EV -12.50%E -5.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.02%EV -13.13%E -5.59%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -13.56%E -4.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-03 07:40
PMU (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 37.77%EV -13.25%E -5.68%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.45%EV -13.13%E -5.59%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -8.40%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-03 07:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-04-03 08:30
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-04-03 08:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.65%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-04-03 08:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.65%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-04-03 08:30
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 37.04%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-04-03 08:30
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.27%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-04-03 08:15