L’École des cotes

Adelaide United v Auckland FC

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-03 08:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Adelaide United (Local)

Prévision 37.23%2.69cote équitable
EV -2.82%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -1.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.70%37.11%37.19%38.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.332.482.502.6142.92%40.29%40.08%38.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Auckland FC (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.96%2.71cote équitable
EV -3.15%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -1.95%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.94%37.05%37.01%38.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.502.502.6243.48%40.07%40.00%38.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.80%3.88cote équitable
EV -0.661%
Avantage -0.172%
Kelly -0.232%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.50%25.83%25.79%27.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.643.653.8532.26%27.50%27.40%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.61I 38.31%NM 36.38%EV -2.82%E -1.08%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.44%EV -8.70%E -3.52%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.18%EV -2.73%E -0.723%K -0.984%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-03 05:10
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.59%EV -2.47%E -0.653%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-03 08:00
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.59%EV -2.47%E -0.653%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-03 08:00
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.97%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.40%EV -5.00%E -1.95%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.63%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-03 08:25
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.07%EV -8.70%E -3.52%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.76%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 05:15
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -3.19%E -1.23%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -9.44%E -3.85%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 05:10
Pinnacle2.58I 38.76%NM 37.52%EV -3.94%E -1.53%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.94%EV -3.15%E -1.20%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.54%EV -2.21%E -0.583%K -0.792%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-03 08:20
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.56%EV -5.05%E -1.98%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.56%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.88%EV -0.661%E -0.172%K -0.232%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-03 07:40
Bovada2.52I 39.68%NM 37.33%EV -6.17%E -2.45%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.89%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 08:19
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-03 08:25
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 08:10
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 06:35
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.89%E -1.50%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 06:40
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 06:35
LeoVegas2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.95%E -0.513%K -0.697%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 07:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.95%E -0.513%K -0.697%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-03 07:40
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.52%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.78%EV -5.74%E -2.25%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 08:10
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.53%E -1.22%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 07:40
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.24%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-03 08:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 07:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 07:40
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 07:40
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 07:40
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.38%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.70%EV -13.13%E -5.59%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 05:10
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -6.92%E -2.77%K -4.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -14.98%E -6.51%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-03 08:10
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.48%EV -7.29%E -2.93%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.89%EV -6.48%E -2.56%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.64%EV -6.08%E -1.67%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 08:25
BetUS2.48I 40.32%NM 37.87%EV -7.66%E -3.09%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.40%EV -4.63%E -1.80%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 08:29
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.70%EV -7.66%E -3.09%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.70%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -1.95%E -0.513%K -0.697%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 07:40
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.60%EV -7.66%E -3.09%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -4.63%E -1.80%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.40%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 08:10
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.60%EV -7.66%E -3.09%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -4.63%E -1.80%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -8.40%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-03 08:00
Grosvenor2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 07:35
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 07:40
Unibet (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 07:40
Casumo2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 07:40
Unibet (NL)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 07:40
Svenska Spel2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 07:40
betPARX2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.40%EV -8.33%E -3.36%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.74%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 07:40
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -7.11%E -1.98%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 08:25
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -9.44%E -3.85%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-03 07:45
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 08:00
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 08:00
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 08:00
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.78%E -3.58%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.27%E -3.61%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 08:00
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.64%EV -10.64%E -4.43%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -14.98%E -6.51%K -11.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -9.69%E -2.77%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-03 05:10
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -11.38%E -4.78%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.29%E -4.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-03 07:35
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%EV -11.38%E -4.78%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.29%E -4.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.66%EV -5.82%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-03 07:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 36.24%EV -11.38%E -4.78%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.94%EV -11.29%E -4.70%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.82%EV -20.01%E -6.46%K -9.53%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-03 08:25
Betr (AU)2.37I 42.19%NM 38.76%EV -11.76%E -4.96%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74%EV -7.59%E -3.04%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -3.24%E -0.864%K -1.18%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 06:50
NetBet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.02%EV -12.50%E -5.32%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.02%EV -13.13%E -5.59%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.97%EV -13.56%E -4.05%K -5.77%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-03 07:40
PMU (FR)2.33I 42.92%NM 37.77%EV -13.25%E -5.68%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.45%EV -13.13%E -5.59%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.79%EV -8.40%E -2.37%K -3.29%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-03 07:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-04-03 08:30
Matchbook2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-04-03 08:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.65%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-04-03 08:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.65%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.81%0.6%2026-04-03 08:30
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 37.04%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.5%2026-04-03 08:30
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 37.27%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%2.0%2026-04-03 08:15