預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Velez Sarsfield BA v Independiente

開賽時間: 2026-08-03 22:00 UTC

最終賽果: Velez Sarsfield BA 1–0 Independiente

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

38 家博彩公司 (17 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Velez Sarsfield BA (主隊)

預測 37.84%2.64公平賠率
EV -2.74%
優勢 -1.07%
Kelly -1.75%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.57

博彩公司預測分布
36.98%37.96%37.87%39.45%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.302.452.452.5743.48%40.85%40.82%38.91%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Independiente (客隊)

預測 30.90%3.24公平賠率
EV -1.11%
優勢 -0.348%
Kelly -0.507%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.20

博彩公司預測分布
29.27%30.80%30.89%32.31%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.853.003.003.2035.09%33.34%33.33%31.25%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 31.25%3.20公平賠率
EV -3.11%
優勢 -1.00%
Kelly -1.48%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.10

博彩公司預測分布
29.99%31.24%31.25%32.61%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.802.983.003.1035.71%33.56%33.33%32.26%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Velez Sarsfield BA (主隊):37.84%;Independiente (客隊):30.90%;和局:31.25%。 對於「Independiente (客隊)」,該估計相當於3.24的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為3.20,期望值為-1.11%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (38 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
Pinnacle🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.66%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.02%EV -3.59%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.32%EV -3.42%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-03 21:45
BetAnything🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.78%EV -3.12%E -1.22%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.71%EV -2.66%E -0.844%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.51%EV -4.05%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-03 21:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.88%EV -3.50%E -1.37%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.86%EV -3.28%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.26%EV -3.42%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-03 21:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.88%EV -3.50%E -1.37%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.86%EV -3.28%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.26%EV -3.42%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-03 21:50
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.70%EV -4.63%E -1.84%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 21:45
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.70%EV -4.63%E -1.84%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 21:44
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.66%EV -4.63%E -1.84%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.71%EV -4.51%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 21:44
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 21:44
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -1.11%E -0.348%K -0.507%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 21:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 21:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 21:49
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -3.11%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 21:50
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-03 21:45
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.08%EV -6.15%E -2.48%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 21:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.08%EV -6.15%E -2.48%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 21:55
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.07%EV -6.15%E -2.48%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -4.20%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 21:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.64%EV -6.15%E -2.48%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.71%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -7.80%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 21:44
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -7.28%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.20%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 21:47
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -7.28%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 21:44
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.28%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -7.80%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 21:45
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.28%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -3.11%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 21:50
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -7.28%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -7.80%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-03 21:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -7.28%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -11.93%E -4.19%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-03 21:54
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.17%E -3.82%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-03 21:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.17%E -3.82%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-03 21:50
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -9.17%E -3.82%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -11.00%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-03 15:59
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -9.17%E -3.82%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-03 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -9.17%E -3.82%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-03 21:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.93%E -4.17%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -7.80%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-03 21:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.93%E -4.17%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -7.80%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-03 21:54
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.93%E -4.17%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -12.49%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-03 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -11.07%E -4.71%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-03 21:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.95%EV -11.07%E -4.71%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -11.93%E -4.19%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-03 21:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.54%EV -11.07%E -4.71%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.95%EV -11.93%E -4.19%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.51%EV -12.49%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-03 21:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.24%EV -11.82%E -5.07%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.04%EV -10.30%E -3.59%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-03 21:50
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -12.96%E -5.63%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -4.20%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-03 21:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.87%EV -12.96%E -5.63%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.30%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-03 21:50
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53%0.7%2026-08-03 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53%0.7%2026-08-03 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53%0.7%2026-08-03 21:50
Smarkets◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29%1.5%2026-08-03 21:50
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.11%3.0%2026-08-03 21:45