StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Velez Sarsfield BA v Independiente

Matchstart: 2026-08-03 22:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Velez Sarsfield BA 1–0 Independiente

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

38 spelbolag (17 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Velez Sarsfield BA (Hemma)

Prognos 37.84%2.64rättvist odds
EV -2.74%
Fördel -1.07%
Kelly -1.75%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.57

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
36.98%37.96%37.87%39.45%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.302.452.452.5743.48%40.85%40.82%38.91%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Independiente (Borta)

Prognos 30.90%3.24rättvist odds
EV -1.11%
Fördel -0.348%
Kelly -0.507%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.27%30.80%30.89%32.31%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.853.003.003.2035.09%33.34%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 31.25%3.20rättvist odds
EV -3.11%
Fördel -1.00%
Kelly -1.48%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.99%31.24%31.25%32.61%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.802.983.003.1035.71%33.56%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Velez Sarsfield BA (Hemma): 37.84%; Independiente (Borta): 30.90%; Oavgjort: 31.25%. För Independiente (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.24. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.20, med väntevärdet -1.11%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (38 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.66%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.02%EV -3.59%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.32%EV -3.42%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-03 21:45
BetAnything🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.78%EV -3.12%E -1.22%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.71%EV -2.66%E -0.844%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.51%EV -4.05%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-03 21:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.88%EV -3.50%E -1.37%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.86%EV -3.28%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.26%EV -3.42%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-03 21:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.88%EV -3.50%E -1.37%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.86%EV -3.28%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.26%EV -3.42%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-03 21:50
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.70%EV -4.63%E -1.84%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 21:45
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.70%EV -4.63%E -1.84%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 21:44
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.66%EV -4.63%E -1.84%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.71%EV -4.51%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 21:44
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 21:44
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -1.11%E -0.348%K -0.507%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 21:10
Codere (IT)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 21:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 21:49
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 21:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -3.11%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 21:50
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-03 21:45
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.08%EV -6.15%E -2.48%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 21:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.08%EV -6.15%E -2.48%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 21:55
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.07%EV -6.15%E -2.48%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -4.20%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 21:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.64%EV -6.15%E -2.48%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.71%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -7.80%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 21:44
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -7.28%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.20%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 21:47
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -7.28%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-03 21:44
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.28%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -7.80%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 21:45
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.28%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -3.11%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 21:50
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -7.28%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -7.80%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-03 21:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -7.28%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -11.93%E -4.19%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-03 21:54
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.17%E -3.82%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-03 21:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.17%E -3.82%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-03 21:50
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -9.17%E -3.82%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -11.00%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-03 15:59
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -9.17%E -3.82%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-03 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -9.17%E -3.82%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.31%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-03 21:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.93%E -4.17%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -7.80%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-03 21:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.93%E -4.17%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -7.80%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-03 21:54
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.93%E -4.17%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -12.49%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-03 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -11.07%E -4.71%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-03 21:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.95%EV -11.07%E -4.71%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -11.93%E -4.19%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-03 21:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.54%EV -11.07%E -4.71%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.95%EV -11.93%E -4.19%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.51%EV -12.49%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-03 21:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.24%EV -11.82%E -5.07%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.04%EV -10.30%E -3.59%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-03 21:50
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -12.96%E -5.63%K -9.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -4.20%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-03 21:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.87%EV -12.96%E -5.63%K -9.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.30%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-03 21:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53%0.7%2026-08-03 21:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53%0.7%2026-08-03 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53%0.7%2026-08-03 21:50
Smarkets◎2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29%1.5%2026-08-03 21:50
Kalshi◎2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.11%3.0%2026-08-03 21:45