语言:简体中文
Velez Sarsfield BA v Independiente
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Velez Sarsfield BA (主队)
预测 37.84%2.64公平赔率
EV -2.74%
优势 -1.07%
Kelly -1.75%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.57
博彩公司预测分布
36.98%37.96%37.87%39.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.302.452.452.5743.48%40.85%40.82%38.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
Independiente (客队)
预测 30.90%3.24公平赔率
EV -1.11%
优势 -0.348%
Kelly -0.507%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.20
博彩公司预测分布
29.27%30.80%30.89%32.31%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.853.003.003.2035.09%33.34%33.33%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 31.25%3.20公平赔率
EV -3.11%
优势 -1.00%
Kelly -1.48%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.10
博彩公司预测分布
29.99%31.24%31.25%32.61%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.802.983.003.1035.71%33.56%33.33%32.26%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Velez Sarsfield BA (主队)：37.84%；Independiente (客队)：30.90%；平局：31.25%。 对于“Independiente (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.24。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.20，期望值为-1.11%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (38 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.66%EV -2.74%E -1.07%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.02%EV -3.59%E -1.15%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.32%EV -3.42%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-03 21:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.78%EV -3.12%E -1.22%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.71%EV -2.66%E -0.844%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.51%EV -4.05%E -1.32%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.88%EV -3.50%E -1.37%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.86%EV -3.28%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.26%EV -3.42%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-03 21:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.88%EV -3.50%E -1.37%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.86%EV -3.28%E -1.05%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.26%EV -3.42%E -1.11%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.70%EV -4.63%E -1.84%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 21:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.70%EV -4.63%E -1.84%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 21:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.66%EV -4.63%E -1.84%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.71%EV -4.51%E -1.46%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 21:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.06%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 21:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -1.11%E -0.348%K -0.507%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 21:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 21:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 21:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -3.11%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -5.39%E -2.16%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.98%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.92%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-03 21:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.08%EV -6.15%E -2.48%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 21:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.08%EV -6.15%E -2.48%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.96%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.07%EV -6.15%E -2.48%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.46%EV -4.20%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-03 21:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.64%EV -6.15%E -2.48%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.71%EV -6.06%E -1.99%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.65%EV -7.80%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-03 21:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -7.28%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.20%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 21:47 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -7.28%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -4.67%E -1.53%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-03 21:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.28%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.75%E -1.89%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -7.80%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 21:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.28%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -3.11%E -1.00%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.38%EV -7.28%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -7.80%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -7.28%E -2.97%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -11.93%E -4.19%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-03 21:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.17%E -3.82%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 21:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -9.17%E -3.82%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -9.17%E -3.82%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -11.00%E -3.82%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -6.24%E -2.08%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-03 15:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -9.17%E -3.82%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-03 21:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -9.17%E -3.82%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -7.30%E -2.43%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.99%E -3.47%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-03 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.93%E -4.17%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -7.80%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.93%E -4.17%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -7.80%E -2.64%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-03 21:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.44%EV -9.93%E -4.17%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.83%EV -12.49%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-03 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -11.07%E -4.71%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.95%EV -11.07%E -4.71%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.29%EV -11.93%E -4.19%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-03 21:49 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.54%EV -11.07%E -4.71%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.95%EV -11.93%E -4.19%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.51%EV -12.49%E -4.46%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-03 21:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.24%EV -11.82%E -5.07%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.39%E -3.58%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.04%EV -10.30%E -3.59%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -12.96%E -5.63%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -4.20%E -1.36%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-03 21:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.87%EV -12.96%E -5.63%K -9.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.30%EV -8.84%E -3.00%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.36%E -3.23%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 21:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.53% | 0.7% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.91% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.80% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.29% | 1.5% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.83% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.05% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.11% | 3.0% | 2026-08-03 21:45 |