La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Union Santa Fe v Newells Old Boys
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
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Union Santa Fe (Casa)
Previsione 57.65%1.73quota equa
EV -0.844%
Vantaggio -0.491%
Kelly -1.17%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.72
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
52.63%57.64%57.53%59.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.611.611.7265.36%62.22%62.11%58.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Newells Old Boys (Trasferta)
Previsione 16.10%6.21quota equa
EV +8.17%
Vantaggio +1.22%
Kelly +1.43%
Crescita +0.117%
ipotizzando la quota massima 6.72
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.28%16.05%16.26%18.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.705.756.7222.22%17.54%17.39%14.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 26.25%3.81quota equa
EV -2.07%
Vantaggio -0.556%
Kelly -0.759%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.73
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.01%26.31%26.21%28.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.503.503.7333.33%28.55%28.57%26.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.99%EV -7.76%E -4.85%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 6.72I 14.88%NM 14.28%EV +8.17%E +1.22%K +1.43%G +0.117% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.73%EV -2.07%E -0.556%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.76%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.42%EV +6.24%E +0.946%K +1.11%G +0.070% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -6.80%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.76%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.42%EV +6.24%E +0.946%K +1.11%G +0.070% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -6.80%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Everygame | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.81%EV -7.76%E -4.85%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV +0.607%E +0.097%K +0.116%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.00%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -0.198%E -0.032%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Betsson | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.00%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -0.198%E -0.032%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.63%EV -8.34%E -5.24%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%EV -0.198%E -0.032%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.33%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Unibet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -7.19%E -4.46%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -3.42%E -0.570%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -2.86%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -7.19%E -4.46%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -3.42%E -0.570%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -2.86%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -7.76%E -4.85%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -3.42%E -0.570%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -2.86%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -9.49%E -6.05%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -3.42%E -0.570%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.07%EV -0.844%E -0.491%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.92I 16.89%NM 16.29%EV -4.70%E -0.795%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.64%EV -8.37%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -6.64%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -10.74%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.30%EV -4.88%E -2.96%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -7.44%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.30%EV -4.88%E -2.96%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -7.44%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.15%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -7.44%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -2.86%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -7.44%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -7.76%E -4.85%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -7.44%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.45%EV -10.07%E -6.45%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -7.44%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -6.80%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.45%EV -10.07%E -6.45%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -7.44%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -6.80%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-17 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.52%EV -11.22%E -7.29%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.09%EV -9.86%E -1.76%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -6.80%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -11.47%E -2.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.86%EV -4.30%E -2.59%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -11.47%E -2.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -10.74%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -7.19%E -4.46%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -11.47%E -2.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -7.19%E -4.46%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -11.47%E -2.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.76%E -4.85%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.47%E -2.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.77%EV -7.76%E -4.85%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -11.47%E -2.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -10.74%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Bovada | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -3.15%E -1.88%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -13.08%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -9.42%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 23:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.13%EV -4.30%E -2.59%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -13.08%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.93%EV -9.49%E -6.05%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.55%EV -13.08%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.52%EV -11.52%E -3.42%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-17 23:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.69%EV -11.80%E -7.71%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.35%EV -13.08%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -10.74%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.77%EV -8.91%E -5.64%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -14.69%E -2.77%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -4.17%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.66%EV -11.80%E -7.71%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.67%EV -16.29%E -3.13%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -14.67%E -4.52%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -19.51%E -3.90%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -13.36%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.64%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -19.51%E -3.90%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -15.99%E -5.00%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.25%EV -10.07%E -6.45%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -19.51%E -3.90%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -12.05%E -3.60%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.63%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.95%EV -27.56%E -6.13%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.42%EV -21.24%E -7.08%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.59% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19% | 0.5% | 2026-04-17 23:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.59% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19% | 0.5% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.74% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 0.8% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.50% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.1% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.01% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.32% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67% | 2.7% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |