Die Schule der Quoten

Union Santa Fe v Newells Old Boys

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-17 23:30 UTC

Endstand: Union Santa Fe 2–3 Newells Old Boys

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

37 Wettanbieter (14 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Union Santa Fe (Heim)

Prognose 57.65%1.73faire Quote
EV -0.844%
Vorteil -0.491%
Kelly -1.17%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.72

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
52.63%57.64%57.53%59.99%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.531.611.611.7265.36%62.22%62.11%58.14%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Newells Old Boys (Auswärts)

Prognose 16.10%6.21faire Quote
EV +8.17%
Vorteil +1.22%
Kelly +1.43%
Wachstum +0.117%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.72

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.28%16.05%16.26%18.95%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.505.705.756.7222.22%17.54%17.39%14.88%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 26.25%3.81faire Quote
EV -2.07%
Vorteil -0.556%
Kelly -0.759%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.73

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.01%26.31%26.21%28.42%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.003.503.503.7333.33%28.55%28.57%26.81%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (37 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.99%EV -7.76%E -4.85%K -12.94%G +0.000%6.72I 14.88%NM 14.28%EV +8.17%E +1.22%K +1.43%G +0.117%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.73%EV -2.07%E -0.556%K -0.759%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 23:25
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.76%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.42%EV +6.24%E +0.946%K +1.11%G +0.070%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -6.80%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 23:25
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.76%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.42%EV +6.24%E +0.946%K +1.11%G +0.070%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -6.80%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 23:25
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 58.81%EV -7.76%E -4.85%K -12.94%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV +0.607%E +0.097%K +0.116%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 23:25
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.00%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -0.198%E -0.032%K -0.038%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 23:25
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 58.00%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -0.198%E -0.032%K -0.038%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-17 23:25
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.63%EV -8.34%E -5.24%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%EV -0.198%E -0.032%K -0.038%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.33%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 23:25
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -7.19%E -4.46%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -3.42%E -0.570%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -2.86%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 23:15
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -7.19%E -4.46%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -3.42%E -0.570%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -2.86%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 23:15
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -7.76%E -4.85%K -12.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -3.42%E -0.570%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -2.86%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 23:15
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -9.49%E -6.05%K -16.65%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -3.42%E -0.570%K -0.683%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 23:25
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.07%EV -0.844%E -0.491%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.92I 16.89%NM 16.29%EV -4.70%E -0.795%K -0.956%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.64%EV -8.37%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-17 23:15
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -6.64%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -10.74%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.30%EV -4.88%E -2.96%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -7.44%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 23:25
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.30%EV -4.88%E -2.96%K -7.51%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -7.44%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 23:25
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.15%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -7.44%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -2.86%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 23:25
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -7.44%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 23:25
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -7.76%E -4.85%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -7.44%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 23:25
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.45%EV -10.07%E -6.45%K -17.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -7.44%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -6.80%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 23:15
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.45%EV -10.07%E -6.45%K -17.98%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -7.44%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -6.80%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.52%EV -11.22%E -7.29%K -20.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.09%EV -9.86%E -1.76%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -6.80%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-17 23:15
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -11.47%E -2.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-17 23:25
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.86%EV -4.30%E -2.59%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -11.47%E -2.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -10.74%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 23:15
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -7.19%E -4.46%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -11.47%E -2.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 23:25
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -7.19%E -4.46%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -11.47%E -2.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 23:25
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.76%E -4.85%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.47%E -2.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-17 23:25
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.77%EV -7.76%E -4.85%K -12.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -11.47%E -2.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -10.74%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-17 23:25
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -3.15%E -1.88%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -13.08%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -9.42%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 23:10
BetAnything1.66I 60.24%NM 56.13%EV -4.30%E -2.59%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -13.08%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 23:25
Betclic (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.93%EV -9.49%E -6.05%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.55%EV -13.08%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.52%EV -11.52%E -3.42%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 23:24
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.69%EV -11.80%E -7.71%K -22.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.35%EV -13.08%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -10.74%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-17 23:25
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.77%EV -8.91%E -5.64%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -14.69%E -2.77%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -4.17%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-17 23:25
NetBet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.66%EV -11.80%E -7.71%K -22.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.67%EV -16.29%E -3.13%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -14.67%E -4.52%K -6.52%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-17 23:25
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -19.51%E -3.90%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -13.36%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-17 23:15
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.64%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -19.51%E -3.90%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -15.99%E -5.00%K -7.27%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-17 23:15
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 56.25%EV -10.07%E -6.45%K -17.98%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -19.51%E -3.90%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -12.05%E -3.60%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-17 23:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 52.63%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.95%EV -27.56%E -6.13%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.42%EV -21.24%E -7.08%K -10.62%G +0.000%17.3%2026-04-17 23:15
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.59%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-04-17 23:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.59%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-04-17 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.74%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%0.8%2026-04-17 23:25
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%0.9%2026-04-17 23:25
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.50%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.1%2026-04-17 23:25
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.01%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.32%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67%2.7%2026-04-17 23:25