La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Union Santa Fe v Newells Old Boys
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Union Santa Fe (Local)
Predicción 57.65%1.73momio equitativo
EV -0.844%
Ventaja -0.491%
Kelly -1.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%57.64%57.53%59.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.611.611.7265.36%62.22%62.11%58.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Newells Old Boys (Visitante)
Predicción 16.10%6.21momio equitativo
EV +8.17%
Ventaja +1.22%
Kelly +1.43%
Crecimiento +0.117%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.28%16.05%16.26%18.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.705.756.7222.22%17.54%17.39%14.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.25%3.81momio equitativo
EV -2.07%
Ventaja -0.556%
Kelly -0.759%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.01%26.31%26.21%28.42%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.503.503.7333.33%28.55%28.57%26.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.99%EV -7.76%E -4.85%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 6.72I 14.88%NM 14.28%EV +8.17%E +1.22%K +1.43%G +0.117% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.73%EV -2.07%E -0.556%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.76%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.42%EV +6.24%E +0.946%K +1.11%G +0.070% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -6.80%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.76%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.42%EV +6.24%E +0.946%K +1.11%G +0.070% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.82%EV -6.80%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Everygame | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.81%EV -7.76%E -4.85%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV +0.607%E +0.097%K +0.116%G +0.001% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.00%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -0.198%E -0.032%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Betsson | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.00%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.15%EV -0.198%E -0.032%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.63%EV -8.34%E -5.24%K -14.13%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.04%EV -0.198%E -0.032%K -0.038%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.33%EV -7.06%E -1.99%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Unibet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -7.19%E -4.46%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -3.42%E -0.570%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -2.86%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -7.19%E -4.46%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -3.42%E -0.570%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -2.86%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -7.76%E -4.85%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -3.42%E -0.570%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -2.86%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -9.49%E -6.05%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -3.42%E -0.570%K -0.683%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.07%EV -0.844%E -0.491%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.92I 16.89%NM 16.29%EV -4.70%E -0.795%K -0.956%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.64%EV -8.37%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.95%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.91%EV -6.64%E -1.14%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -10.74%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.30%EV -4.88%E -2.96%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -7.44%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.30%EV -4.88%E -2.96%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -7.44%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.26%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.15%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.38%EV -7.44%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.46%EV -2.86%E -0.773%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.75%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.27%EV -7.44%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -7.76%E -4.85%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -7.44%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.45%EV -10.07%E -6.45%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -7.44%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -6.80%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.45%EV -10.07%E -6.45%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.86%EV -7.44%E -1.29%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -6.80%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-17 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.52%EV -11.22%E -7.29%K -20.78%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.09%EV -9.86%E -1.76%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.39%EV -6.80%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.32%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -11.47%E -2.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.86%EV -4.30%E -2.59%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -11.47%E -2.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -10.74%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.47%EV -7.19%E -4.46%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.82%EV -11.47%E -2.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.49%E -1.52%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Bet Right | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -7.19%E -4.46%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -11.47%E -2.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| betfred_uk | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.76%E -4.85%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -11.47%E -2.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.77%EV -7.76%E -4.85%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -11.47%E -2.08%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -10.74%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Bovada | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -3.15%E -1.88%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -13.08%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -9.42%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 23:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.13%EV -4.30%E -2.59%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -13.08%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.11%E -2.32%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.93%EV -9.49%E -6.05%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.55%EV -13.08%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.52%EV -11.52%E -3.42%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-17 23:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.69%EV -11.80%E -7.71%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.35%EV -13.08%E -2.42%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -10.74%E -3.16%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.77%EV -8.91%E -5.64%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -14.69%E -2.77%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -4.17%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.66%EV -11.80%E -7.71%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.67%EV -16.29%E -3.13%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.67%EV -14.67%E -4.52%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.10%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -19.51%E -3.90%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.05%EV -13.36%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.64%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -19.51%E -3.90%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -15.99%E -5.00%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.25%EV -10.07%E -6.45%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.55%EV -19.51%E -3.90%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -12.05%E -3.60%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 52.63%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 18.95%EV -27.56%E -6.13%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.42%EV -21.24%E -7.08%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-04-17 23:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.59% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19% | 0.5% | 2026-04-17 23:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.59% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19% | 0.5% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.74% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.17% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10% | 0.8% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.09% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.16% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.50% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.82% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.1% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.01% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.32% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.67% | 2.7% | 2026-04-17 23:25 |